Match Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagümrük February 16, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.96 — +12.2% better than the market.

Kasimpasa hosts Fatih Karagümrük in a Süper Lig clash where defensive solidity could dominate. Kasimpasa’s home edge is modest but their defensive resilience contrasts with Fatih Karagümrük’s higher offensive threat. Recent form favors the visitors slightly, yet Kasimpasa’s compact block and disciplined shape may limit clear chances.

Kasimpasa’s defensive discipline vs Fatih Karagümrük’s attacking intent
Fatih Karagümrük’s recent form shows signs of struggle away
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.96 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAS 4-2-3-1 · KAR 4-2-3-1

KAS · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · KAR

23 Tosun

📊 Statistics

KAS 3 – 2 KAR

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.21

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.86	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.96	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.91	—	47%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	43%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.07	—	38%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.42	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	72%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.10	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	87%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	—	63%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.57	—	19%	Cashed	+2.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.39	—	47%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.47u	−15% ROI