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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Newcastle — Bournemouth

Match Newcastle vs Bournemouth April 18, 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee T. Bramall
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.93
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.75
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 35% · book 2.77
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.65 – 3.03
Δ −1.38
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle hosts Bournemouth in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but the home side's defensive solidity at St. James' Park could prove pivotal. Newcastle's recent form shows some struggles, while Bournemouth arrives with steady momentum and a compact block. The tactical battle will hinge on Newcastle's ability to break down Bournemouth's disciplined defense and the visitors' pressing to exploit home vulnerabilities.

  • Newcastle's defensive resilience vs Bournemouth's attacking pressure
  • Bournemouth's recent unbeaten run contrasting Newcastle's patchy form
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · BOU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NEW
46' Trippier ↑ · Hall
62' Guimaraes ↑ · Ramsey
62' Murphy ↑ · Elanga
74' Burn ↑ · Livramento
86' Woltemade ↑ · Tonali
Subs used · BOU
65' Adams ↑ · Christie
66' Brooks ↑ · J. Kroupi
78' Doak ↑ · Rayan
89' Unal ↑ · Evanilson
89' Toth ↑ · Tavernier

📊 Statistics

NEW 12 BOU
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.03
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
6
11
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 1 – 2
32'
M. Tavernier
Assist · Rayan · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
K. Trippier ↓ · L. Hall ↑
Substitution 1
46'
52'
Ryan Christie
Yellow Card
55'
Marcus Tavernier
Yellow Card
Bruno Guimaraes ↓ · J. Ramsey ↑
Substitution 2
62'
J. Murphy ↓ · A. Elanga ↑
Substitution 3
62'
65'
T. Adams ↓ · R. Christie ↑
Substitution 1
66'
D. Brooks ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑
Substitution 2
W. Osula
1–1
68'
D. Burn ↓ · V. Livramento ↑
Substitution 4
74'
Sven Botman
Yellow Card
77'
78'
B. Doak ↓ · Rayan ↑
Substitution 3
Jacob Murphy
Yellow Card
80'
82'
Alex Scott
Yellow Card
85'
A. Truffert
1–2
N. Woltemade ↓ · S. Tonali ↑
Substitution 5
86'
89'
E. Unal ↓ · Evanilson ↑
Substitution 4
89'
A. Toth ↓ · M. Tavernier ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
Đorđe Petrović
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.93 57% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.75 57% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.77 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.25 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.67 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.98 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.86 34% Cashed +2.86 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.81 34% Cashed +1.81 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.45 65% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.31 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.48 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.16 84% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.51u −9% ROI