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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie Heracles — Ajax

Match Heracles vs Ajax April 11, 2026

Heracles
Heracles
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 19:00
0:3
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.62
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.55
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 65% · book 1.64
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
1.25 – 1.92
Δ −0.67
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Ajax enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite both sides showing mixed recent form. Heracles' defensive solidity faces a stern test against Ajax's sharper attack, which has been more consistent. The home side's struggle to convert chances contrasts with Ajax's ability to exploit defensive gaps, suggesting a likely away dominance.

  • Ajax's superior overall strength and offensive edge
  • Heracles' recent home form lacks momentum
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical control over wild open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

HER 03 AJA
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.25
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.92
16
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
10
7
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
4
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.62 66% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.55 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.64 65% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
BTTS No 2.34 44% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.40 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.35 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.19 87% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.55 56% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.25 66% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 79% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Home Win 5.40 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.20u −31% ROI