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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Brighton — Liverpool

Match Brighton vs Liverpool March 21, 2026

England   /   Premier League
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 12:30
2:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Amex Stadium · Brighton Referee D. England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.28 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.55 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.34 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.30 – 1.03
Δ +1.27
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Liverpool arrive at Amex Stadium with a clear quality edge, boasting stronger overall metrics despite Brighton's solid home momentum. The visitors' attacking threat matches well against Brighton's defense, suggesting a tactical battle where Liverpool's sharper offensive edge could prove decisive. Brighton's recent form shows resilience, but Liverpool's pressing and experience may tilt the balance.

  • Brighton's home compactness vs Liverpool's dynamic attack
  • Liverpool's pressing edge and superior quality gap
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-3-1-2
BRI · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · LIV 1 Verbruggen 27 Wieffer 6 Hecke 5 Dunk 24 Kadıoğlu 20 Milner 30 Groß 25 Gómez 13 Hinshelwood 11 Minteh 18 Welbeck ⚽ 25 Mamardashvili 30 Frimpong 5 Konaté 4 Dijk 6 Kerkez ⚽ 8 Szoboszlai 38 Gravenberch 7 Wirtz 10 Allister 22 Ekitiké 18 Gakpo
Subs used · BRI
76' Mitoma ↑ · Minteh ↓
76' Baleba ↑ · Milner ↓
83' Ayari ↑ · Hinshelwood ↓
83' Rutter ↑ · Welbeck ↓
90+1' Veltman ↑ · Gomez ↓
Subs used · LIV
8' Jones ↑ · Ekitike ↓
63' Ngumoha ↑ · Frimpong ↓
76' Robertson ↑ · Kerkez ↓
77' Chiesa ↑ · Konate ↓

📊 Statistics

BRI 2 – 1 LIV
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.03
16
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
5
Yellow Cards
5
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

22 · 2 – 1
8'
⇄
C. Jones ↓ · H. Ekitike ↑
Substitution 1
D. Welbeck
Assist · D. Gomez · 1–0
⚽
14'
Yankuba Minteh
Yellow Card
▮
25'
30'
⚽
M. Kerkez
1–1
45'
▮
Ibrahima Konaté
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
Danny Welbeck
Yellow Card
▮
48'
Diego Gómez
Yellow Card
▮
45+5'
D. Welbeck
Assist · J. Hinshelwood · 2–1
⚽
56'
61'
▮
Jeremie Frimpong
Yellow Card
63'
⇄
R. Ngumoha ↓ · J. Frimpong ↑
Substitution 2
68'
▮
Alexis Mac Allister
Yellow Card
K. Mitoma ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
76'
C. Baleba ↓ · J. Milner ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
76'
76'
⇄
A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑
Substitution 3
77'
⇄
F. Chiesa ↓ · I. Konate ↑
Substitution 4
79'
▮
Dominik Szoboszlai
Yellow Card
Y. Ayari ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
G. Rutter ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Lewis Dunk
Yellow Card
▮
85'
90'
▮
Federico Chiesa
Yellow Card
J. Veltman ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+1'
Mats Wieffer
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.28 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.34 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.70 — 56% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.65 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.65 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.71 — 48% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.37 — 23% Cashed +1.37 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.53 — 66% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 59% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 — 78% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.76 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.60 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.23 — 23% Cashed +2.23 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.63u −15% ROI