P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — Sparta Rotterdam

Match AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam February 22, 2026

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 15:45
3:1
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L L D L L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.05
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.63
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.50
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.39 – 0.91
Δ +0.48
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AZ Alkmaar holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record that could stifle Sparta Rotterdam's attack. The home side's pressing and compact block may limit chances, while their offensive edge suggests they can capitalize on set-pieces. Sparta's recent winning streak shows resilience, but their away struggles and lower attacking threat might keep the game tight.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • AZ's home pressing advantage
  • Sparta's recent form but away limitations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ALK 31 SPA
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.91
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
12
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.05 56% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.63 61% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 40% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS No 2.48 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.38 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.85 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.68 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 80% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 62% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.57 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.48 56% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.80 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.80 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.70 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.22u −25% ROI