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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Chelsea — Newcastle

Match Chelsea vs Newcastle March 14, 2026

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:30
0:1
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
L W D W L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Paul Tierney, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.86
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.70
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.72
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.43 – 1.42
Δ +0.01
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea Looks to Extend Home Momentum

Chelsea's clear quality edge and strong home form give them the upper hand against Newcastle. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled to contain threats, while Newcastle's offense may find it tough against Chelsea's solid backline. Recent form favors the hosts, who have shown resilience and sharpness in front of goal. Expect a controlled pace with Chelsea pressing to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and maintain their home dominance.

  • Chelsea's home advantage and attacking edge
  • Newcastle's defensive challenges against high-quality offense
  • Form momentum favoring Chelsea's compact and disciplined play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CHE 4-2-3-1 · NEW 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CHE
46' Delap ↑ · Gusto
61' Lavia ↑ · Caicedo
82' Hato ↑ · Fofana
Subs used · NEW
67' Joelinton ↑ · Woltemade
77' Burn ↑ · Willock
78' Elanga ↑ · Murphy

📊 Statistics

CHE 01 NEW
67%
Possession (%)
33%
1.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.42
22
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
5
10
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
10
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

11 · 0 – 1
18'
A. Gordon
Assist · J. Willock · 0–1
Wesley Fofana
Yellow Card
23'
Moisés Caicedo
Yellow Card
25'
Half-time · 0 – 1
L. Delap ↓ · M. Gusto ↑
Substitution 1
46'
R. Lavia ↓ · M. Caicedo ↑
Substitution 2
61'
67'
Joelinton ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 1
77'
D. Burn ↓ · J. Willock ↑
Substitution 2
78'
A. Elanga ↓ · J. Murphy ↑
Substitution 3
J. Hato ↓ · W. Fofana ↑
Substitution 3
82'
84'
Aaron Ramsdale
Yellow Card
89'
Lewis Hall
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.86 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.70 39% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.72 59% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.65 37% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.31 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.05 40% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.42 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.29 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.52 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.50 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.60 17% Cashed +4.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.31 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.02 18% Cashed +2.02 Cashed
Away Win 4.12 18% Cashed +3.12 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +5.89u +35% ROI