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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — AZ Alkmaar

Match Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar October 18, 2025

Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W D D D D Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff ArenA · Amsterdam Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 49% · book 2.50
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.62
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 69% · book 1.54
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.24 – 2.24
Δ −1.00
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, expect a dynamic encounter with a high likelihood of goals. Our model estimates a 69.43% chance for over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.62 offering a solid opportunity. Both teams are likely to find the net, with a 68.64% probability for BTTS Yes, making it another attractive option. Ajax's home advantage is countered by AZ's strong form, suggesting a competitive match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

AJA 02 ALK
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.24
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.24
17
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
19
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
4
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.50 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.54 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 87% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Away Win 3.56 29% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 97% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 2.03 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 31% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.50 31% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.62 51% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.85 53% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.52 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.69 29% Cashed +1.69 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.01u +0% ROI