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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Brighton — Arsenal

Match Brighton vs Arsenal March 4, 2026

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Wed 04 Mar · 19:30
0:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Amex Stadium · Brighton Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 65% · book 1.68
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.97
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.99
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.80 – 0.43
Δ +0.37
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton hosts Arsenal in a clash where quality heavily favors the visitors. Arsenal's superior overall strength and offensive edge suggest they can break down Brighton's compact defense. Despite Brighton's better recent points per game, Arsenal's momentum and sharper attack create a pressing edge. Expect a lively pace with chances at both ends, given balanced over/under odds.

  • Arsenal's attacking threat vs Brighton's defense
  • Brighton's home resilience but limited firepower
  • Recent form favors Arsenal's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · ARS 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BRI
46' Minteh ↑ · Mitoma
69' Welbeck ↑ · Hinshelwood
77' Veltman ↑ · Wieffer
77' Howell ↑ · Gomez
78' Ayari ↑ · Baleba
Subs used · ARS
59' Havertz ↑ · Gyökeres
60' Trossard ↑ · Martinelli
64' Calafiori ↑ · Mosquera
80' Norgaard ↑ · Zubimendi

📊 Statistics

BRI 01 ARS
60%
Possession (%)
40%
0.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.43
11
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
4
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
9'
B. Saka
Assist · J. Timber · 0–1
11'
Cristhian Mosquera
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
Y. Minteh ↓ · K. Mitoma ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Diego Gómez
Yellow Card
52'
59'
K. Havertz ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑
Substitution 1
60'
L. Trossard ↓ · G. Martinelli ↑
Substitution 2
64'
R. Calafiori ↓ · C. Mosquera ↑
Substitution 3
D. Welbeck ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 2
69'
J. Veltman ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑
Substitution 3
77'
H. Howell ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
77'
Y. Ayari ↓ · C. Baleba ↑
Substitution 5
78'
Olivier Boscagli
Yellow Card
80'
80'
C. Norgaard ↓ · M. Zubimendi ↑
Substitution 4
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Yellow Card
81'
Yasin Ayari
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.68 65% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.99 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 47% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.97 46% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.36 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.20 87% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.29 65% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 68% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.81 23% Cashed +2.81 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.20 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.71u −16% ROI