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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Rio Ave

Match Casa Pia vs Rio Ave May 16, 2026

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L W D D
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee H. Malheiro
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.05
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.05
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 51% · book 2.22
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.34 – 0.61
Δ +1.73
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Casa Pia hosts Rio Ave in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they may control the game tempo. Casa Pia’s defensive solidity contrasts with Rio Ave’s sharper attack, setting up a tactical battle. The home side’s moderate home edge is tempered by Rio Ave’s ability to exploit defensive gaps, hinting at a tight contest with limited scoring.

  • Rio Ave’s pressing and offensive edge may challenge Casa Pia’s compact block
  • Casa Pia’s home momentum could keep the match cagey
  • Odds and recent trends suggest a low-scoring, cautious affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 3-4-3 · RIO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CAS
59' Brito ↑ · Perez
59' Livolant ↑ · Livramento
76' Conte ↑ · Prieto
86' Osundina ↑ · Rosas
86' Mohamed ↑ · Ofori
Subs used · RIO
63' Papakanellos ↑ · Spikic
82' Pohlmann ↑ · Bezerra
88' Lomboto ↑ · Monteiro
88' Buta ↑ · Tome

📊 Statistics

CAS 11 RIO
41%
Possession (%)
59%
2.34
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.61
20
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
2
9
Corner Kicks
0
3
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
14
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

12 · 1 – 1
G. Larrazabal
Assist · D. Livramento · 1–0
35'
Half-time · 1 – 0
52'
J. Blesa
1–1
R. Brito ↓ · S. Perez ↑
Substitution 1
59'
J. Livolant ↓ · D. Livramento ↑
Substitution 2
59'
63'
A. Papakanellos ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 1
A. Conte ↓ · K. Prieto ↑
Substitution 3
76'
J. Marques
Yellow Card
80'
82'
O. Pohlmann ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑
Substitution 2
K. Osundina ↓ · P. Rosas ↑
Substitution 4
86'
I. Mohamed ↓ · L. Ofori ↑
Substitution 5
86'
88'
J. Lomboto ↓ · T. Monteiro ↑
Substitution 3
88'
L. Buta ↓ · J. Tome ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.05 1.87 58% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 1.88 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.22 2.05 51% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Home Win 1.71 1.72 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.85 1.95 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.86 43% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 10.99 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.89 4.74 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 3.50 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.30 78% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 1.18 72% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 3.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.45 3.46 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.16 3.70 23% Cashed +3.16 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.04 88% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 1.28 65% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.30 1.26 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.92u −11% ROI