P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Santa Clara

Match Arouca vs Santa Clara May 2, 2026

Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee R. Baixinho
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.61
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 37% · book 2.75
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.80
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
0.78 – 1.86
Δ −1.08
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Arouca holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, which has kept several clean sheets recently. Their attacking threat faces a tough Santa Clara defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Both sides show mixed form, but Arouca’s home momentum and compact block could stifle Santa Clara’s attempts to break through.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away offensive pressure
  • Recent form favors home side slightly
  • Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · SAN 4-3-3
Subs used · ARO
46' Rocha ↑ · Sanchez
64' Dante ↑ · Kuipers
75' Flores ↑ · Barbero
76' Gozalbez ↑ · Djouahra
85' Monteiro ↑ · Fukui
Subs used · SAN
22' Victor ↑ · Romao
59' Torrao ↑ · Brenner
76' Manoel ↑ · Paciencia
76' Lopes ↑ · Klismahn
76' Soares ↑ · Calila

📊 Statistics

ARO 22 SAN
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.86
9
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
8
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

22 · 2 – 2
J. Sanchez
Yellow Card
5'
H. Lee
Assist · Tiago Esgaio · 1–0
8'
10'
Gabriel Silva
Assist · Serginho · 1–1
22'
Paulo Victor ↓ · Guilherme Romao ↑
Substitution 1
30'
Serginho
Yellow Card
44'
J. Tavares
Yellow Card
V. Seabra
Red Card
45'
Half-time · 1 – 1
M. Rocha ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
H. Lee
Yellow Card
45+3'
59'
Welinton Torrao ↓ · Brenner ↑
Substitution 2
A. Dante ↓ · B. Kuipers ↑
Substitution 2
64'
H. Lee
Yellow Card
66'
H. Lee
Red Card
66'
M. Flores ↓ · I. Barbero ↑
Substitution 3
75'
P. Gozalbez ↓ · N. Djouahra ↑
Substitution 4
76'
76'
Elias Manoel ↓ · G. Paciencia ↑
Substitution 3
76'
Vinicius Lopes ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑
Substitution 4
76'
Lucas Soares ↓ · Diogo Calila ↑
Substitution 5
Tiago Esgaio
Assist · T. Fukui · 2–1
84'
D. Monteiro ↓ · T. Fukui ↑
Substitution 5
85'
88'
F. Venancio
Yellow Card
90+5'
Elias Manoel
Assist · Welinton Torrao · 2–2
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.61 1.62 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.75 2.75 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.81 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.45 2.30 36% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.07 1.93 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.00 1.90 43% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Away Win 2.66 2.70 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.82 1.93 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.04 2.75 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.51 1.44 71% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Draw 3.10 3.06 28% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 1.40 63% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.41 1.40 58% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 8.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 1.20 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 1.07 87% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.33 4.00 18% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.28u +2% ROI