Match Moreirense vs Estrela May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.91 — +10.5% better than the market.

Moreirense holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home momentum despite recent mixed results. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Estrela's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle where Moreirense's compact block could limit chances. Both sides have struggled for consistent form, but the home side's better recent points per game hints at a slight upper hand.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking threat
Modest home form advantage
Low-scoring trend likely given cautious setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.91 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOR 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-3-3

MOR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · EST

11 Alan ⚽

Subs used · MOR

46'

Maranhao ↑ ·

Assis ↓

46'

John ↑ ·

Stjepanovic ↓

68'

Kiko ↑ ·

Landerson ↓

68'

Semedo ↑ ·

Alanzinho ↓

76'

Santos ↑ ·

Fabiano ↓

Subs used · EST

64'

van Hooijdonk ↑ ·

Pinho ↓

69'

Encada ↑ ·

Langa ↓

69'

Jansson ↑ ·

Jovane ↓

81'

Meireles ↑ ·

Sola ↓

81'

Moustier ↑ ·

Marcus ↓

📊 Statistics

MOR 3 – 2 EST

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.68

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.75

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

24 · 3 – 2

Caio

Yellow Card

▮

12'

13'

⚽

Jovane (P)

Penalty · 0–1

25'

▮

Rodrigo Pinho

Yellow Card

31'

▮

M. Scholze

Yellow Card

36'

⚽

I. Stoica (P)

Penalty · 0–2

Rodri

Yellow Card

▮

40'

Alanzinho (P)

Penalty · Assist · Alanzinho · 1–2

⚽

45'

Alanzinho

2–2

⚽

45+1'

Half-time · 2 – 2

Yan Maranhao ↓ · A. Assis ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

N. John ↓ · M. Stjepanovic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Fabiano

Yellow Card

▮

50'

64'

⇄

S. van Hooijdonk ↓ · Rodrigo Pinho ↑

Substitution 1

Kiko ↓ · Landerson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

L. Semedo ↓ · Alanzinho ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

68'

69'

⇄

J. Encada ↓ · B. Langa ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⇄

K. Jansson ↓ · Jovane ↑

Substitution 3

L. Semedo

Assist · Kiko · 3–2

⚽

73'

L. Santos ↓ · Fabiano ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

77'

▮

J. Encada

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

J. Meireles ↓ · A. Sola ↑

Substitution 4

81'

⇄

T. Moustier ↓ · A. Marcus ↑

Substitution 5

G. Batista

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

▮

Otavio

Yellow Card

Maracas

4–2

⚽

90+4'

Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.91	1.82	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.70	1.62	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.14	3.10	40%	Cashed	+2.14	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.16	2.16	40%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.90	42%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.26	2.30	35%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.76	1.72	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.55	1.53	69%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	2.75	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.39	1.36	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.57	2.48	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	7.52	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	1.20	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	1.07	86%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.32	3.05	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	1.40	61%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	18%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.46u	+3% ROI