P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga GIL Vicente — Casa Pia

Match GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia April 27, 2026

GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Mon 27 Apr · 19:15
2:1
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L L W D D Away · last 5
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee B. J. Costa
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.81
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.80
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.71 – 1.25
Δ +0.46
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

GIL Vicente holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Casa Pia, who struggle to match their offensive threat. The hosts' solid defensive shape and sharper attack suggest they can control the pace and limit Casa Pia’s chances. Recent form favors GIL Vicente, who have shown resilience and efficiency in front of goal.

  • Home side’s pressing edge and compact block
  • Casa Pia’s defensive vulnerabilities against strong attacks
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VIC 4-2-3-1 · CAS 3-4-3
Subs used · VIC
61' Moreira ↑ · Fernandez
61' Varela ↑ · Hernandez
82' Hevertton ↑ · Mutombo
87' Bermejo ↑ · Souza
88' Espigares ↑ · Carlos
Subs used · CAS
74' Conte ↑ · Rosas
74' Livramento ↑ · Marques
85' Mendes ↑ · Cassiano
86' Perez ↑ · Mohamed
86' Ofori ↑ · Livolant

📊 Statistics

VIC 21 CAS
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
12
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
18
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
5
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 2 – 1
26'
Rafael Brito
Yellow Card
Murilo de Souza
1–0
31'
45'
Cassiano (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Zé Carlos
Yellow Card
45+4'
Half-time · 1 – 1
A. Moreira ↓ · M. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 1
61'
G. Varela ↓ · H. Hernandez ↑
Substitution 2
61'
Zé Carlos
Yellow Card
63'
70'
Pedro Rosas
Yellow Card
Murilo de Souza (P)
Penalty · 2–1
73'
74'
A. Conte ↓ · P. Rosas ↑
Substitution 1
74'
D. Livramento ↓ · J. Marques ↑
Substitution 2
78'
Andre Geraldes
Yellow Card
S. Hevertton ↓ · J. Mutombo ↑
Substitution 3
82'
85'
C. Mendes ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 3
86'
S. Perez ↓ · I. Mohamed ↑
Substitution 4
86'
L. Ofori ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 5
Bermejo ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑
Substitution 4
87'
A. Espigares ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Dani Figueira
Yellow Card
89'
Gustavo Varela
Yellow Card
90+3'
Antonio Espigares
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.65 1.67 64% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.81 1.73 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.75 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.05 2.00 44% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.09 2.10 43% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.32 2.16 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 1.15 88% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.23 1.22 64% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 3.25 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 1.25 78% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 1.05 89% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.88 3.60 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 1.33 68% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 3.75 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.92 5.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.10 3.80 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.14u −30% ROI