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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Casa Pia

Match Alverca vs Casa Pia April 12, 2026

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 14:30
3:1
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L L W D D Away · last 5
FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 53% · book 2.18
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.90
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.71
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.83 – 0.65
Δ +1.18
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · CAS 3-4-3
Subs used · ALV
75' Marezi ↑ · Lima
87' Nuozzi ↑ · Rhaldney
87' Moreira ↑ · Figueiredo
90+3' Gui ↑ · Lincoln
90+3' Kassary ↑ · Chiquinho
Subs used · CAS
58' Mendes ↑ · Cassiano
68' Livramento ↑ · Livolant
69' Ofori ↑ · Marques
69' Mohamed ↑ · Perez
82' Geraldes ↑ · Sousa

📊 Statistics

ALV 31 CAS
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.83
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
11
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
8
9
Corner Kicks
11
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
15
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
61%
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 3 – 1
1'
J. Marques
Assist · J. Livolant · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Figueiredo
Assist · Chiquinho · 1–1
49'
58'
C. Mendes ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 1
Chiquinho
2–1
63'
68'
D. Livramento ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 2
69'
L. Ofori ↓ · J. Marques ↑
Substitution 3
69'
I. Mohamed ↓ · S. Perez ↑
Substitution 4
Marezi ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 1
75'
82'
A. Geraldes ↓ · D. Sousa ↑
Substitution 5
Rhaldney
Assist · Marezi · 3–1
83'
C. Nuozzi ↓ · Rhaldney ↑
Substitution 2
87'
V. Moreira ↓ · Figueiredo ↑
Substitution 3
87'
D. Gui ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 4
90+3'
Z. Kassary ↓ · Chiquinho ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.18 53% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
BTTS No 1.90 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.71 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.25 41% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.99 46% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.75 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.62 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.32 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.03 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.52 53% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.37 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 21% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Away Win 3.70 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.03u −6% ROI