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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — Rio Ave

Match Santa Clara vs Rio Ave April 11, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 17:00
0:2
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.64
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 41% · book 2.77
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 2.02
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.51 – 0.26
Δ +0.25
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.64 — +8.9% better than the market.

Santa Clara hosts Rio Ave in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Santa Clara’s defensive frailties contrast with Rio Ave’s sharper attack, suggesting the away side could exploit gaps. However, the home team’s familiarity with Estádio de São Miguel and a compact block might keep the scoreline tight.

  • Rio Ave’s pressing edge and recent momentum favor them.
  • Santa Clara’s home resilience may limit goals.
  • Expect a moderately paced game with under 2.5 goals likely.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.64 ✓ Cashed
AI 66% Implied 61% +0.64u
+64%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAN 4-4-2 · RIO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SAN
46' Lopes ↑ · Torrao
57' Paciencia ↑ · Fernando
57' Brenner ↑ · Klismahn
69' Calila ↑ · Soares
81' Tavares ↑ · Ferreira
Subs used · RIO
76' Guilherme ↑ · Pohlmann
86' Petrasso ↑ · Spikic
86' Papakanellos ↑ · Monteiro
90+2' Liavas ↑ · Bezerra
90+2' Tome ↑ · Vrousai

📊 Statistics

SAN 02 RIO
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.26
13
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
12
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 0 – 2
39'
Jakub Brabec
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Vinicius Lopes ↓ · Welinton Torrao ↑
Substitution 1
46'
50'
T. Nikitscher
Assist · M. Vrousai · 0–1
G. Paciencia ↓ · Fernando ↑
Substitution 2
57'
Brenner ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑
Substitution 3
57'
61'
S. Lima
Own goal · 0–2
63'
Gustavo Mancha
Yellow Card
Diogo Calila ↓ · Lucas Soares ↑
Substitution 4
69'
70'
Tamás Nikitscher
Yellow Card
Gabriel Silva
Yellow Card
75'
76'
Ryan Guilherme ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑
Substitution 1
J. Tavares ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑
Substitution 5
81'
86'
F. Petrasso ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 2
86'
A. Papakanellos ↓ · T. Monteiro ↑
Substitution 3
Henrique Silva
Yellow Card
87'
90+2'
G. Liavas ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
J. Tome ↓ · M. Vrousai ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.64 66% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.77 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.02 55% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
BTTS No 1.67 62% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.24 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.88 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.40 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 28% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.47 59% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 84% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.62 28% Cashed +2.62 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 86% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.47 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.74u +4% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
SAN – RIO @ 1.64
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →