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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Burnley — Brentford

Match Burnley vs Brentford February 28, 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 15:00
3:4
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Samuel Barrott, England
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.79
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.03
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.07
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
0.97 – 1.94
Δ −0.97
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brentford arrives at Turf Moor with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their stronger attack faces a Burnley defense that has struggled to contain opponents, while Burnley’s home advantage is somewhat limited by their inconsistent results. Expect Brentford’s sharper offensive play and momentum to challenge Burnley’s compact block.

  • Brentford’s offensive edge against Burnley’s defense
  • Burnley’s home form lacks momentum
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal market odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BUR 3-4-2-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BUR
46' Ugochukwu ↑ · Laurent
46' Foster ↑ · Bruun Larsen
75' Florentino ↑ · Ward-Prowse
84' Tchaouna ↑ · Mejbri
90+1' Barnes ↑ · Flemming
Subs used · BRE
72' Lewis-Potter ↑ · Schade
72' Donovan ↑ · Ouattara
73' Henderson ↑ · Yarmolyuk

📊 Statistics

BUR 34 BRE
41%
Possession (%)
59%
0.97
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.94
12
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
7
7
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
13
4
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
9
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

19 · 3 – 4
-5'
Yehor Yarmolyuk
Yellow Card
9'
M. Damsgaard
Assist · D. Ouattara · 0–1
25'
I. Thiago
Assist · M. Damsgaard · 0–2
34'
K. Schade
0–3
M. Kayode
Own goal · 1–3
45'
Half-time · 1 – 3
L. Ugochukwu ↓ · J. Laurent ↑
Substitution 1
46'
L. Foster ↓ · J. Bruun Larsen ↑
Substitution 2
46'
J. Anthony
Assist · H. Mejbri · 2–3
47'
Z. Flemming
Assist · H. Mejbri · 3–3
60'
72'
K. Lewis-Potter ↓ · K. Schade ↑
Substitution 1
72'
R. Donovan ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 2
73'
J. Henderson ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑
Substitution 3
Florentino ↓ · J. Ward-Prowse ↑
Substitution 3
75'
77'
Igor Thiago
Yellow Card
L. Tchaouna ↓ · H. Mejbri ↑
Substitution 4
84'
Bashir Humphreys
Yellow Card
86'
90'
M. Damsgaard
Assist · R. Henry · 3–4
A. Barnes ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
Lyle Foster
Yellow Card
90+11'
Full-time · 3 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.79 62% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.03 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.07 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.91 46% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 49% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.17 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.23 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.38 62% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.80 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.39 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.04 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 72% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 25% Cashed +2.25 Cashed
Home Win 5.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.57 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.30u −19% ROI