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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estrela — Casa Pia

Match Estrela vs Casa Pia March 20, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Fri 20 Mar · 20:15
4:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L L W D D Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.88 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.66 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.34 ✓
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
4.40 – 0.65
Δ +3.75
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Estrela hosts Casa Pia in a tightly matched Primeira Liga clash. Casa Pia holds a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they carry momentum into this game. Estrela’s home edge is modest but their attacking potential faces a resilient Casa Pia defense, hinting at a tactical battle.

  • Casa Pia’s recent wins boost confidence on the road
  • Estrela’s defense is solid but under pressure from Casa Pia’s efficient attack
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a compact, strategic duel

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

EST 4-3-3 · CAS 3-4-3
EST · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · CAS 40 Ribeiro 21 Scholze 30 Patrick 14 Schappo 24 Langa 39 Doué ⚽ 6 Jansson 8 Botelho 99 Marcus ⚽ 9 Pinho ⚽ 10 Stoica 1 Sequeira 4 Goulart 3 Bandeira 18 Geraldes 72 Larrazabal 42 Pérez 8 Brito 5 Conté 29 Livolant 90 Cassiano 10 Livramento
Subs used · EST
67' Jovane ↑ · Pinho ↓
68' Sola ↑ · Robinho ↓
75' Meireles ↑ · Stoica ↓
83' Moustier ↑ · Doue ↓
83' Otavio ↑ · Schappo ↓
Subs used · CAS
39' Fonte ↑ · Kaly ↓
39' Morais ↑ · Livramento ↓
57' Mohamed ↑ · Brito ↓
57' Marques ↑ · Cassiano ↓
77' Mendes ↑ · Livolant ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 4 – 0 CAS
53%
Possession (%)
47%
4.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
23
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
12
Shots off Target
6
15
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
1
18
Fouls
20
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

19 · 4 – 0
4'
▮
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Pinho (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
12'
Bernardo Schappo
Yellow Card
▮
18'
A. Marcus
2–0
⚽
37'
39'
⇄
J. Fonte ↓ · Kaly ↑
Substitution 1
39'
⇄
T. Morais ↓ · D. Livramento ↑
Substitution 2
Rodrigo Pinho
Assist · A. Marcus · 3–0
⚽
45'
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 3 – 0
57'
⇄
I. Mohamed ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 3
57'
⇄
J. Marques ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 4
Jovane ↓ · Rodrigo Pinho ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
A. Sola ↓ · Robinho ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
J. Meireles ↓ · I. Stoica ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
G. Doue
Assist · A. Marcus · 4–0
⚽
76'
77'
⇄
C. Mendes ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 5
T. Moustier ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Otavio ↓ · Bernardo Schappo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
Alex Sola
Yellow Card
▮
85'
85'
▮
Sebastián Pérez
Yellow Card
Full-time · 4 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.88 — 54% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.66 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.34 — 40% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.65 — 32% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.06 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.84 — 32% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Away Win 3.05 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.52 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.42 — 59% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.93 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 — 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.20 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 88% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 — 21% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.00u −0% ROI