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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Sporting CP

Match Alverca vs Sporting CP March 22, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 18:00
1:4
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 2.12
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.63
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.67
Total goals
5
1 · 4
xG (open play)
0.83 – 1.33
Δ −0.50
Possession
31% – 69%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.12 — +13.1% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a potent attack that challenges Alverca's defense. Despite Alverca's steady recent form, Sporting's superior offensive firepower and experience on the road suggest they will control the game's rhythm. The home side's compact block may limit chances, but Sporting's pressing and set-piece threat could unlock opportunities.

  • Sporting's strong away momentum contrasts with Alverca's cautious home approach.
  • Alverca's defense faces a tough test against Sporting's dynamic attack.
  • The match hints at a moderately open tempo, favoring goal-scoring chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 2.12 ✓ Cashed
AI 53% Implied 47% +1.12u
+112%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ALV 3-4-2-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ALV
65' Marezi ↑ · Lima
65' Moreira ↑ · Chiquinho
65' Gui ↑ · Lincoln
75' Clairicia ↑ · Figueiredo
80' Baseya ↑ · Gomez
Subs used · SPO
27' Vagiannidis ↑ · Santos
72' Braganca ↑ · Morita
72' Debast ↑ · Inacio
82' Nel ↑ · Suarez
82' Mangas ↑ · Fresneda

📊 Statistics

ALV 14 SPO
31%
Possession (%)
69%
0.83
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
9
6
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
9
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 1 – 4
22'
P. Goncalves
0–1
24'
Gonçalo Inácio
Yellow Card
27'
G. Vagiannidis ↓ · N. Santos ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 1
49'
Luis Javier Suárez
Yellow Card
50'
L. Suarez
Assist · H. Morita · 0–2
Marezi ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 1
65'
V. Moreira ↓ · Chiquinho ↑
Substitution 2
65'
D. Gui ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 3
65'
68'
G. Catamo
Assist · M. Hjulmand · 0–3
72'
D. Braganca ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 2
72'
Z. Debast ↓ · G. Inacio ↑
Substitution 3
M. Clairicia ↓ · Figueiredo ↑
Substitution 4
75'
S. Baseya ↓ · S. Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
80'
82'
R. Nel ↓ · L. Suarez ↑
Substitution 4
82'
R. Mangas ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑
Substitution 5
Marezi
Assist · I. James · 1–3
83'
Nabil Touaizi
Yellow Card
85'
86'
P. Goncalves
1–4
Full-time · 1 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.12 53% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.63 41% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 63% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.35 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.78 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.33 76% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.08 93% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.05 76% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 5.91 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 83% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.68 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.70 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 10.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 7.10 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.86u −29% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
ALV – SPO @ 2.12
+13.1%
Edge
Forecast →