Match Arsenal vs Chelsea March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.82 — +11.6% better than the market.

Arsenal enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that could stifle Chelsea’s attack. Their pressing and compact block at Emirates Stadium should limit Chelsea’s chances, despite the visitors showing signs of resilience with recent wins. The attacking battle looks balanced, but Arsenal’s home edge and form suggest they can control the pace and create key opportunities.

Arsenal’s defensive solidity vs Chelsea’s moderate offense
Home momentum and tactical pressing advantage
Balanced attacking threat with slight home control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.82 ✓ Cashed

AI 61% Implied 55% +0.82u

+82%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARS 4-2-3-1 · CHE 4-3-3

ARS · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · CHE

14 Gyökeres

Subs used · ARS

56'

Martinelli ↑ ·

Trossard ↓

76'

Norgaard ↑ ·

Rice ↓

76'

Havertz ↑ ·

Gyökeres ↓

Subs used · CHE

75'

Gusto ↑ ·

Hato ↓

75'

Lavia ↑ ·

Santos ↓

86'

Garnacho ↑ ·

Palmer ↓

86'

Delap ↑ ·

Fernandez ↓

90'

Adarabioyo ↑ ·

Sarr ↓

📊 Statistics

ARS 2 – 1 CHE

41%

Possession (%)

59%

1.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.07

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 1

W. Saliba

Assist · Gabriel · 1–0

⚽

21'

45'

⚽

P. Hincapie

Own goal · Assist · R. James · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

59'

▮

Cole Palmer

Yellow Card

65'

▮

Jorrel Hato

Yellow Card

J. Timber

Assist · D. Rice · 2–1

⚽

66'

67'

▮

Pedro Neto

Yellow Card

70'

▮

Pedro Neto

Yellow Card

70'

▮

Pedro Neto

Red Card

Gabriel Magalhães

Yellow Card

▮

75'

⇄

M. Gusto ↓ · J. Hato ↑

Substitution 1

75'

⇄

R. Lavia ↓ · Andrey Santos ↑

Substitution 2

C. Norgaard ↓ · D. Rice ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

K. Havertz ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

79'

▮

Enzo Fernández

Yellow Card

86'

⇄

A. Garnacho ↓ · C. Palmer ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

L. Delap ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑

Substitution 4

90'

⇄

T. Adarabioyo ↓ · M. Sarr ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.82	—	61%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Home Win	1.66	—	65%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	60%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.22	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.40	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.47	—	60%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.25	—	65%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	82%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.26	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.64	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.20	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.55u	−33% ROI