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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Estoril

Match Nacional vs Estoril March 15, 2026

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 15:30
0:1
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.54
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.22
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.72
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.75 – 1.12
Δ −0.37
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Estoril enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Nacional’s defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Estoril’s sharper attack and more consistent point accumulation hint at a likely away advantage. The pace is expected to be moderate, favoring tactical discipline over frenetic end-to-end action.

  • Estoril’s offensive edge against Nacional’s defense
  • Home side’s compact block may limit goals
  • Recent form favors visitors’ momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · EST 4-3-3
Subs used · NAC
46' Labidi ↑ · Silva
63' Joao ↑ · Baeza
63' Ruan ↑ · Veron
79' Junior ↑ · Dias
79' Sousa ↑ · Boia
Subs used · EST
59' Xeka ↑ · Jandro
59' Guitane ↑ · Marques
59' Lacximicant ↑ · Begraoui
78' Pizzi ↑ · Carvalho
78' Amaral ↑ · Carvalho

📊 Statistics

NAC 01 EST
55%
Possession (%)
45%
0.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
13
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
5
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 0 – 1
8'
F. Bacher
Assist · J. Carvalho · 0–1
16'
João Carvalho
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
C. Labidi ↓ · J. Silva ↑
Substitution 1
46'
59'
Xeka ↓ · Jandro ↑
Substitution 1
59'
R. Guitane ↓ · A. Marques ↑
Substitution 2
59'
A. Lacximicant ↓ · Y. Begraoui ↑
Substitution 3
L. Joao ↓ · M. Baeza ↑
Substitution 2
63'
Pablo Ruan ↓ · Gabriel Veron ↑
Substitution 3
63'
Jesús Ramírez
Yellow Card
76'
78'
Pizzi ↓ · J. Carvalho ↑
Substitution 4
78'
P. Amaral ↓ · P. Carvalho ↑
Substitution 5
Daniel Junior ↓ · Matheus Dias ↑
Substitution 4
79'
A. Sousa ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 5
79'
Lucas João
Yellow Card
80'
Ze Vitor
Yellow Card
83'
88'
Joel Robles
Yellow Card
Chiheb Labidi
Yellow Card
90'
Pablo
Yellow Card
90+3'
90+4'
Ricard Sánchez
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.54 42% Cashed +1.54 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.22 46% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.72 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.06 43% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.70 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.54 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.86 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.88 43% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.56 68% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 68% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.45 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.55 23% Cashed +3.55 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.36u +8% ROI