Match AVS vs Estrela February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.70 — +12.3% better than the market.

Estrela

Estrela’s stronger overall quality and recent momentum
AVS’s home defensive resilience
Moderate pace expected with a likely cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 59% +0.70u

+70%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups
AVS 4-1-4-1 · EST 4-2-3-1

AVS · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · EST 1 Adriel 97 Pivô 33 Santos 3 Vitor 12 Rivas 70 Roni 11 Akinsola 23 Mendonca 27 Algobia 20 Duarte 7 Tomané 40 Ribeiro 17 Encada 4 Leković 14 Schappo 83 Otavio 19 Moreira 6 Jansson 99 Marcus 11 Cabral 10 Stoica 20 Hooijdonk

Subs used · AVS

62' Perea ↑ · Duarte ↓

62' Kiki ↑ · Rivas ↓

73' Nene ↑ · Tomane ↓

73' Ponck ↑ · Santos ↓

76' Neiva ↑ · Akinsola ↓

Subs used · EST

56' Pinho ↑ · van Hooijdonk ↓

58' Doue ↑ · Encada ↓

75' Robinho ↑ · Jovane ↓

75' Meireles ↑ · Jansson ↓

75' Brahimi ↑ · Stoica ↓

📊 Statistics
AVS 0 – 0 EST

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.88

10

Total Shots

16

3

Shots on Target

6

5

Shots off Target

5

7

Shots Inside Box

8

7

Corner Kicks

9

4

Offsides

3

17

Fouls

9

67%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

2

Yellow Cards

1

6

Goalkeeper Saves

3

⏱ Match events
14 · 0 – 0

Cristian Castro

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Leonardo Rivas

Yellow Card

▮

54'

56'

⇄

Rodrigo Pinho ↓ · S. van Hooijdonk ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

G. Doue ↓ · J. Encada ↑

Substitution 2

O. Perea ↓ · D. Duarte ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

Kiki ↓ · D. Rivas ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

72'

▮

Eddy Doué

Yellow Card

Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

Ponck ↓ · A. Santos ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

75'

⇄

Robinho ↓ · Jovane ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

J. Meireles ↓ · K. Jansson ↑

Substitution 4

75'

⇄

B. Brahimi ↓ · I. Stoica ↑

Substitution 5

G. Neiva ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

Gustavo Mendonca

Yellow Card

▮

81'

Full-time · 0 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u

BTTS No 1.97 — 59% Cashed +0.97 Cashed

Under 2.5 1.70 — 66% Cashed +0.70 Cashed

Away Win 2.80 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss

AH Away 0 1.99 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss

BTTS Yes 1.91 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss

Home Win 2.77 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss

Over 2.5 2.27 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss

AH Home 0 1.93 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss

Double Chance X2 1.50 — 72% Cashed +0.50 Cashed

Under 1.5 3.10 — 40% Cashed +2.10 Cashed

Under 0.5 8.50 — 14% Cashed +7.50 Cashed

Under 3.5 1.25 — 84% Cashed +0.25 Cashed

Over 1.5 1.42 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss

Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 56% Cashed +0.47 Cashed

Over 0.5 1.10 — 86% Lost −1.00 Miss

Draw 3.25 — 28% Cashed +2.25 Cashed

Over 3.5 4.20 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss

Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +5.74u +34% ROI

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.97	—	59%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.70	—	66%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Away Win	2.80	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.99	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.77	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.27	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.93	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	72%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	—	40%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.50	—	14%	Cashed	+7.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	84%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	56%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.20	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.74u	+34% ROI