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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Wolves — Aston Villa

Match Wolves vs Aston Villa February 27, 2026

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Wolves
Wolves
Home · last 5 L D L D D
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton Referee Craig Pawson, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 2.03 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 58% · book 1.95 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.10 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
0.98 – 1.06
Δ −0.08
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.03 — +14.9% better than the market.

Aston Villa arrives at Molineux with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Wolves' home advantage. Villa's sharper attack against Wolves' leaky defense could unlock scoring chances, while Wolves' compact block and pressing may limit the visitors' rhythm. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Wolves' struggles to convert chances and Villa's momentum favor an away win.

  • Villa's offensive edge vs Wolves' defense
  • Wolves' home pressing vs Villa's form
  • Moderate tempo with scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.03 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 49% +1.03u
+103%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WOL 3-4-2-1 · AST 4-2-3-1
WOL · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · AST 1 Sá 15 Mosquera 4 Bueno 24 Gomes 38 Tchatchoua 7 André 8 Gomes ⚽ 3 Bueno 27 Bellegarde 36 Mané 9 Armstrong 23 Martínez 2 Cash 4 Konsa 14 Torres 12 Digne 24 Onana 21 Luiz 19 Sancho 27 Rogers 10 Buendía 11 Watkins
Subs used · WOL
81' Arokodare ↑ · Bellegarde ↓
89' Gomes ↑ · Andre ↓
90+3' Gomes ↑ · Armstrong ↓
Subs used · AST
60' Barkley ↑ · Luiz ↓
60' Bailey ↑ · Sancho ↓
70' Abraham ↑ · Buendia ↓
70' Maatsen ↑ · Digne ↓
86' Alysson ↑ · Watkins ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 2 – 0 AST
39%
Possession (%)
61%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.06
9
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
10
0
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
19
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 0
Yerson Mosquera
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Adam Armstrong
Yellow Card
▮
51'
54'
▮
Emiliano Buendía
Yellow Card
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Yellow Card
▮
58'
60'
⇄
R. Barkley ↓ · Douglas Luiz ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
L. Bailey ↓ · J. Sancho ↑
Substitution 2
Joao Gomes
Assist · A. Armstrong · 1–0
⚽
61'
70'
⇄
T. Abraham ↓ · E. Buendia ↑
Substitution 3
70'
⇄
I. Maatsen ↓ · L. Digne ↑
Substitution 4
75'
▮
Leon Bailey
Yellow Card
T. Arokodare ↓ · J. Bellegarde ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
81'
86'
⇄
Alysson ↓ · O. Watkins ↑
Substitution 5
A. Gomes ↓ · Andre ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
89'
R. Gomes
2–0
⚽
90'
90+2'
▮
Matty Cash
Yellow Card
R. Gomes ↓ · A. Armstrong ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+3'
Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.03 — 57% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Away Win 1.95 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 — 53% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.92 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.95 — 42% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.43 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.80 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 77% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.28 — 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 90% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 — 69% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.01 — 18% Cashed +2.01 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.27 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.12 — 18% Cashed +3.12 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.05u −0% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
WOL – AST @ 2.03
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →