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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Moreirense

Match Casa Pia vs Moreirense March 1, 2026

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L W D D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.80
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 38% · book 2.67
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 35% · book 2.58
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.17 – 1.51
Δ −0.34
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Casa Pia hosts Moreirense in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall profile and offensive potential. Moreirense's slightly better form and attacking threat could challenge Casa Pia's solid defense, but the home side's resilience and recent momentum suggest a tight contest. Expect a cautious pace with limited goal-scoring opportunities given the defensive strengths on both sides.

  • Moreirense's attacking edge versus Casa Pia's defense
  • Home momentum balancing away quality gap
  • Likely compact and tactical battle with moderate tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 3-4-2-1 · MOR 4-3-3
Subs used · CAS
66' Livramento ↑ · Osundina
66' Mohamed ↑ · Perez
83' Marques ↑ · Brito
83' Rosas ↑ · Conte
90' Morais ↑ · Livolant
Subs used · MOR
46' Assis ↑ · Stjepanovic
70' John ↑ · Rodri
70' Santos ↑ · Travassos
70' Landerson ↑ · Bondoso
87' Kiko ↑ · Martinez

📊 Statistics

CAS 11 MOR
36%
Possession (%)
64%
1.17
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.51
7
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
10
1
Corner Kicks
7
22
Fouls
12
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
2'
Maracás
Yellow Card
Cassiano
Assist · G. Larrazabal · 1–0
40'
David Sousa
Yellow Card
42'
45+1'
Dinis Pinto
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
A. Assis ↓ · M. Stjepanovic ↑
Substitution 1
62'
Alanzinho (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Rafael Brito
Yellow Card
65'
D. Livramento ↓ · K. Osundina ↑
Substitution 1
66'
I. Mohamed ↓ · S. Perez ↑
Substitution 2
66'
70'
N. John ↓ · Rodri ↑
Substitution 2
70'
L. Santos ↓ · Travassos ↑
Substitution 3
70'
Landerson ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑
Substitution 4
J. Marques ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 3
83'
P. Rosas ↓ · A. Conte ↑
Substitution 4
83'
87'
Kiko ↓ · A. Martinez ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Alan
Yellow Card
T. Morais ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.80 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.67 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.58 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.12 42% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.99 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.80 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.91 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.00 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.48 72% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.56 65% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.52 62% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Draw 3.15 29% Cashed +2.15 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 58% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 86% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 0.5 6.93 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.00 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.40u −20% ROI