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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Estoril

Match Sporting CP vs Estoril February 27, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 20:45
3:0
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.87 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.98 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 46% · book 1.94 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.26 – 0.62
Δ +1.64
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.87 — +11.7% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Estoril's defense. Their compact block and high pressing style should exploit Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities. The home side's recent form and quality gap suggest they will control the pace, likely leading to multiple goal opportunities. Expect a lively encounter with Sporting pushing for dominance at Estádio José Alvalade.

  • Home attacking strength vs away defensive weakness
  • Superior recent form and home advantage
  • Likely high-tempo game with goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.87 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-3-1-2
SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · EST 1 Silva 22 Fresneda 26 Diomande 25 Inácio 20 Araújo 42 Hjulmand 5 Morita 10 Catamo 17 Trincão 31 Guilherme 97 Suárez ⚽ 1 Robles 2 Sánchez 25 Bacher 4 Ferro 20 Costa 6 Orellana 10 Holsgrove 12 Carvalho 99 Guitane 14 Begraoui 9 Marqués
Subs used · SPO
72' Faye ↑ · Guilherme ↓
72' Simoes ↑ · Morita ↓
83' Santos ↑ · Trincao ↓
83' Vagiannidis ↑ · Fresneda ↓
83' Braganca ↑ · Catamo ↓
Subs used · EST
46' Tsoungui ↑ · Marques ↓
46' Carvalho ↑ · Costa ↓
80' Edwards ↑ · Guitane ↓
80' Pizzi ↑ · Jandro ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 3 – 0 EST
53%
Possession (%)
47%
2.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
14
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
16
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 0
L. Suarez
Assist · Trincao · 1–0
⚽
6'
L. Suarez
Assist · M. Hjulmand · 2–0
⚽
16'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Tsoungui ↓ · A. Marques ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
P. Carvalho ↓ · G. Costa ↑
Substitution 2
56'
▮
Antef Tsoungui
Yellow Card
Iván Fresneda
Yellow Card
▮
63'
63'
▮
João Carvalho
Yellow Card
S. Faye ↓ · Luis Guilherme ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
72'
J. Simoes ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
77'
▮
Ricard Sánchez
Yellow Card
80'
⇄
K. Edwards ↓ · R. Guitane ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
Pizzi ↓ · Jandro ↑
Substitution 4
N. Santos ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
G. Vagiannidis ↓ · I. Fresneda ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
D. Braganca ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
Maximiliano Araújo
Yellow Card
▮
87'
D. Braganca
Assist · N. Santos · 3–0
⚽
90'
Full-time · 3 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.87 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.98 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.94 — 46% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 — 40% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Draw 7.80 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.07 — 95% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Home Win 1.22 — 80% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 — 80% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.38 — 74% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 — 89% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.84 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.40 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 7.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 26.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 13.70 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 8.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.23u −37% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
SPO – EST @ 1.87
+11.7%
Edge
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