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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — SC Braga

Match Nacional vs SC Braga February 28, 2026

Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Referee Diogo Rosa, Portugal
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.61
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.86
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.87
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.96 – 2.48
Δ −1.52
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Braga arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Nacional's defensive solidity at home might keep things tight, but Braga's attacking prowess against a less robust defense hints at goal opportunities. The pace could be moderate, with a balanced chance for goals given the odds on over 2.5.

  • Braga's superior offensive index challenges Nacional's defense.
  • Home side's recent form shows some resilience but inconsistency.
  • Moderate tempo likely, favoring a tactical but open game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · BRA 3-4-3
Subs used · NAC
74' Witi ↑ · Veron
74' Silva ↑ · Sousa
90+8' Joao ↑ · Liziero
90+7' Ruan ↑ · Vallier
Subs used · BRA
46' Oliveira ↑ · Barisic
67' Moutinho ↑ · Grillitsch
67' Dorgeles ↑ · Martinez
84' E. Tiknaz ↑ · Rodrigues
84' Navarro ↑ · Victor

📊 Statistics

NAC 12 BRA
37%
Possession (%)
63%
0.96
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.48
14
Total Shots
20
5
Shots on Target
8
3
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
16
3
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
15
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
11'
R. Zalazar
Assist · P. Victor · 0–1
13'
Florian Grillitsch
Yellow Card
Matheus Dias
Yellow Card
26'
28'
Ricardo Horta
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
P. Oliveira ↓ · A. Barisic ↑
Substitution 1
Paulinho Boia
Assist · A. Sousa · 1–1
59'
67'
J. Moutinho ↓ · F. Grillitsch ↑
Substitution 2
67'
M. Dorgeles ↓ · G. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
72'
Diego Rodrigues
Yellow Card
Witi ↓ · Gabriel Veron ↑
Substitution 1
74'
J. Silva ↓ · A. Sousa ↑
Substitution 2
74'
Lenny Vallier
Yellow Card
77'
84'
D. E. Tiknaz ↓ · D. Rodrigues ↑
Substitution 4
84'
F. Navarro ↓ · P. Victor ↑
Substitution 5
90'
R. Zalazar (P)
Penalty · 1–2
Pablo Ruan ↓ · L. Vallier ↑
Substitution 4
90+7'
L. Joao ↓ · Liziero ↑
Substitution 3
90+8'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.61 66% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 57% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 55% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS No 1.99 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.54 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.16 88% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 65% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.20 66% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 79% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.31 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.80 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.92 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.66 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.55u −33% ROI