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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Tondela — Santa Clara

Match Tondela vs Santa Clara March 1, 2026

Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 15:30
2:2
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 40% · book 2.58
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 34% · book 2.66
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.62 – 1.69
Δ −0.07
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Tondela hosts Santa Clara in a clash where home momentum and defensive solidity could be decisive. Tondela’s home edge is noticeable with a more compact block and better recent form, while Santa Clara struggles on the road and has shown defensive vulnerabilities. The match pace hints at a cautious approach, favoring a tight contest with limited goal-scoring chances.

  • Tondela’s home defensive shape limits Santa Clara’s attack.
  • Santa Clara’s poor away form undermines confidence.
  • Modest attacking threat suggests a low-scoring game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

TON 5-4-1 · SAN 4-3-3
Subs used · TON
59' Lopes ↑ · Felix
71' Tavares ↑ · Rodriguez
71' Aiko ↑ · Maranhao
90+4' Huarte ↑ · Hodge
90+4' Ouattara
Subs used · SAN
64' Paciencia ↑ · Tavares
64' Torrao ↑ · Lopes
71' Soares ↑ · Calila
89' Manoel ↑ · Fernando
89' Darlan ↑ · Ferreira

📊 Statistics

TON 22 SAN
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.62
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.69
11
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
9
8
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
15
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
9'
Sidney Lima
Yellow Card
Bebeto (P)
Penalty · 1–0
10'
15'
Gabriel Silva
1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
Rony Lopes ↓ · H. Felix ↑
Substitution 1
59'
R. Conceicao
Assist · J. Hodge · 2–1
60'
64'
G. Paciencia ↓ · J. Tavares ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑
Substitution 2
Rony Lopes
Yellow Card
69'
H. Tavares ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 2
71'
M. Aiko ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑
Substitution 3
71'
71'
Lucas Soares ↓ · Diogo Calila ↑
Substitution 3
74'
Henrique Silva
Yellow Card
Brayan Medina
Yellow Card
86'
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
Yellow Card
87'
88'
Serginho (P)
Penalty · 2–2
89'
Elias Manoel ↓ · Fernando ↑
Substitution 4
89'
Darlan ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑
Substitution 5
X. Huarte ↓ · J. Hodge ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
M. Ouattara ↓ ·
Substitution 5
90+4'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.75 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.58 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.66 34% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.17 41% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Away Win 2.52 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.26 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.70 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.58 66% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Home Win 3.40 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.52 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.56 60% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Draw 3.08 29% Cashed +2.08 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.36 63% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.18 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.14 85% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 0.5 6.57 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.24 16% Cashed +4.24 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.79u +11% ROI