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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — Arouca

Match FC Porto vs Arouca February 27, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 18:45
3:1
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.41 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.40 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.62 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
3.16 – 0.24
Δ +2.92
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC Porto holds a clear quality edge and home momentum at Estádio Do Dragão, backed by a strong defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches Arouca’s defense. The hosts’ pressing and compact block should limit Arouca’s chances, who struggle to keep pace away. Recent form favors Porto slightly, suggesting control over the game tempo and likely dominance in possession.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Porto’s home pressing and tactical discipline
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · ARO 4-2-3-1
POR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · ARO 99 Costa 20 Costa 5 Bednarek 4 Kiwior 12 Sanusi 8 Froholdt 13 Rosario 10 Veiga 11 Pepê 27 Gül 77 Pietuszewski ⚽ 12 Arruabarrena 6 Monteiro 15 Sánchez 3 Fontán 25 Kuipers 21 Fukui 10 Gozálbez 24 Mansilla 19 Trezza 7 Djouahra ⚽ 17 Barbero
Subs used · POR
61' Moffi ↑ · Gul ↓
62' Gomes ↑ · Pietuszewski ↓
62' Mora ↑ · Veiga ↓
76' Fofana ↑ · Rosario ↓
84' Miranda ↑ · Pepê ↓
Subs used · ARO
46' Popovic ↑ · Sanchez ↓
66' Nandin ↑ · Barbero ↓
78' Silva ↑ · Mansilla ↓
78' Santiago Perez ↑ · Gozalbez ↓
85' Puche ↑ · Trezza ↓

📊 Statistics

POR 3 – 1 ARO
57%
Possession (%)
43%
3.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.24
20
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
5
12
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
14
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 1
O. Pietuszewski
Assist · V. Froholdt · 1–0
⚽
1'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
B. Popovic ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 1
T. Moffi ↓ · D. Gul ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
William Gomes ↓ · O. Pietuszewski ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
R. Mora ↓ · G. Veiga ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
66'
⇄
D. Nandin ↓ · I. Barbero ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⚽
N. Djouahra
1–1
S. Fofana ↓ · P. Rosario ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
78'
⇄
J. Silva ↓ · B. Mansilla ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⇄
J. Santiago Perez ↓ · P. Gozalbez ↑
Substitution 4
A. Miranda ↓ · Pepê ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
85'
⇄
Puche ↓ · A. Trezza ↑
Substitution 5
William Gomes (P)
Penalty · 2–1
⚽
90'
T. Moffi
Assist · William Gomes · 3–1
⚽
90'
90+2'
▮
Boris Popović
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
Diogo Monteiro
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.41 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.40 — 43% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 — 57% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 — 35% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Draw 7.80 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.57 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 — 82% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
BTTS No 1.57 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.02 — 82% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.80 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 — 79% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Double Chance X2 5.00 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 17.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 9.90 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.99u −29% ROI