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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — FC Porto

Match Nacional vs FC Porto February 15, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 15:30
0:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 2.23
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.82
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.14
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.65 – 0.45
Δ +0.20
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.23 — +14.8% better than the market.

FC Porto enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, reflected in their superior attacking and defensive metrics. Despite Nacional's home momentum and a compact defensive block, Porto's recent form and offensive firepower suggest they will control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Porto's ability to break down Nacional's defense could be decisive.

  • Porto's strong away form and higher scoring potential
  • Nacional's resilience at home but limited offensive threat
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 2.23 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NAC 4-3-3 · POR 4-3-3
Subs used · NAC
46' Baeza ↑ · Silva
71' Ruan ↑ · Witi
76' Vallier ↑ · Goncalves
85' Junior ↑ · Boia
85' Labidi ↑ · Liziero
Subs used · POR
59' Veiga ↑ · Mora
59' Sainz ↑ · Pietuszewski
74' Moffi ↑ · Gul
74' Fofana ↑ · Froholdt
90' Gomes ↑ · Pepê

📊 Statistics

NAC 01 POR
47%
Possession (%)
53%
0.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.45
9
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
1
6
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
5
13
Fouls
11
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
Francisco Gonçalves
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Baeza ↓ · J. Silva ↑
Substitution 1
46'
59'
G. Veiga ↓ · R. Mora ↑
Substitution 1
59'
B. Sainz ↓ · O. Pietuszewski ↑
Substitution 2
60'
J. Bednarek
Assist · G. Veiga · 0–1
Pablo Ruan ↓ · Witi ↑
Substitution 2
71'
74'
T. Moffi ↓ · D. Gul ↑
Substitution 3
74'
S. Fofana ↓ · V. Froholdt ↑
Substitution 4
L. Vallier ↓ · C. Goncalves ↑
Substitution 3
76'
Liziero
Yellow Card
84'
Daniel Junior ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 4
85'
C. Labidi ↓ · Liziero ↑
Substitution 5
85'
Kaique
Yellow Card
87'
90'
William Gomes ↓ · Pepê ↑
Substitution 5
Lenny Vallier
Yellow Card
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.23 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.82 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.14 42% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
BTTS No 1.70 49% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.02 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.37 74% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 64% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.10 74% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.40 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.40 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 20% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 10.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 7.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.93u −17% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
NAC – POR @ 2.23
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →