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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Estrela

Match Guimaraes vs Estrela February 14, 2026

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.76
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.70
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.75
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.49 – 1.02
Δ +0.47
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Guimaraes holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, likely to frustrate Estrela's attack. Recent form favors Guimaraes slightly, with signs of home momentum after two wins in five. The tactical battle suggests a compact Guimaraes defense against Estrela's moderate offensive threat, hinting at a controlled pace and fewer goals.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Home momentum and form advantage
  • Moderate tempo with goal-scoring restraint

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-1-4-1
Subs used · GUI
16' Nobrega ↑ · Abascal
46' Oliveira ↑ · Gustavo
46' Arcanjo ↑ · Camara
74' Maga ↑ · Strata
90+3' Lebedenko ↑ · Saviolo
Subs used · EST
65' Antonetti ↑ · Pinho
65' Robinho ↑ · Lekovic
65' Scholze ↑ · Otavio
75' Brahimi ↑ · Doue
83' Stoica ↑ · Jovane

📊 Statistics

GUI 21 EST
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.02
20
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
18
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 2 – 1
Rodrigo Abascal
Yellow Card
-5'
10'
P. Moreira
Assist · A. Marcus · 0–1
M. Nobrega ↓ · R. Abascal ↑
Substitution 1
16'
Samu
Yellow Card
24'
34'
Otavio
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
N. Oliveira ↓ · Gustavo ↑
Substitution 2
46'
T. Arcanjo ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 3
46'
Thiago Balieiro
1–1
64'
65'
L. Antonetti ↓ · Rodrigo Pinho ↑
Substitution 1
65'
Robinho ↓ · S. Lekovic ↑
Substitution 2
65'
M. Scholze ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 3
D. Sousa
Assist · J. I. Mendes · 2–1
68'
Maga ↓ · T. Strata ↑
Substitution 4
74'
75'
B. Brahimi ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 4
83'
I. Stoica ↓ · Jovane ↑
Substitution 5
Charles
Yellow Card
89'
90+1'
Bernardo Schappo
Yellow Card
O. Lebedenko ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.76 62% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.70 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.75 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.19 41% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.26 38% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.20 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.00 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 87% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 64% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.27 62% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 81% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 88% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.72 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.84 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.57u −27% ROI