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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — AVS

Match Famalicao vs AVS February 9, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Mon 09 Feb · 18:45
3:1
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.06
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.76
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 44% · book 2.17
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.18 – 0.44
Δ +1.74
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.06 — +11.2% better than the market.

Famalicao holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against struggling AVS. Their stronger defense and superior recent form suggest a compact, controlled game with limited chances for the visitors. AVS’s attack faces a tough test against Famalicao’s disciplined backline, while the home side’s pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

  • Home advantage with a solid defensive shape
  • AVS’s attack likely contained by home’s compact block
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FAM 4-1-4-1 · AVS 4-1-4-1
Subs used · FAM
46' Joujou ↑ · Bondo
74' Pena ↑ · Sa
74' Elisor ↑ · Abubakar
81' Pastor ↑ · Santos
90+1' Almeida ↑ · Sorriso
Subs used · AVS
29' Ponck ↑ · Vitor
70' Perea ↑ · Duarte
70' Nene ↑ · Tomane
76' Neiva ↑ · Rivas
76' Algobia ↑ · Mendonca

📊 Statistics

FAM 31 AVS
66%
Possession (%)
34%
2.18
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
14
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
14
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 3 – 1
Gustavo García
Yellow Card
4'
Justin De Haas
Yellow Card
25'
29'
Ponck ↓ · Paulo Vitor ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Joujou ↓ · Pedro Bondo ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Pedro Bondo
Yellow Card
45+2'
48'
Mateus Pivô
Yellow Card
50'
D. Duarte
Assist · Tomane · 0–1
J. De Haas
Assist · A. Joujou · 1–1
54'
A. Joujou
Assist · P. Santos · 2–1
63'
U. Abubakar
Assist · P. Santos · 3–1
67'
70'
O. Perea ↓ · D. Duarte ↑
Substitution 2
70'
Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑
Substitution 3
M. Pena ↓ · G. Sa ↑
Substitution 2
74'
S. Elisor ↓ · U. Abubakar ↑
Substitution 3
74'
76'
G. Neiva ↓ · D. Rivas ↑
Substitution 4
76'
A. Algobia ↓ · G. Mendonca ↑
Substitution 5
G. Pastor ↓ · P. Santos ↑
Substitution 4
81'
R. Almeida ↓ · Sorriso ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
90+4'
Pedro Lima
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.06 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.76 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.17 44% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 46% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.43 71% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 91% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.19 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.11 71% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 26% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.82 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 72% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Away Win 8.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.60 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.02u −24% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
FAM – AVS @ 2.06
+11.2%
Edge
Forecast →