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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Newcastle — Everton

Match Newcastle vs Everton February 28, 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 15:00
2:3
Full-time
Everton
Everton
L D D L L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.75
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.17
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.15
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
0.95 – 2.13
Δ −1.18
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle holds a clear quality edge over Everton, boosted by solid home momentum and a compact defensive block that has limited opponents effectively. Their attacking threat matches well against Everton's less robust defense, suggesting a controlled pace with chances to capitalize on set-pieces and transitions.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Stronger recent form and higher expected goals
  • Everton's defensive vulnerabilities under pressure

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NEW 4-2-3-1 · EVE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NEW
46' Willock ↑ · Ramsey
56' Barnes ↑ · Woltemade
56' Murphy ↑ · Elanga
75' Wissa ↑ · Trippier
86' Osula ↑ · Gordon
Subs used · EVE
74' Barry ↑ · Beto
81' Armstrong ↑ · McNeil
89' Keane ↑ · Dewsbury-Hall

📊 Statistics

NEW 23 EVE
66%
Possession (%)
34%
0.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.13
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
4
15
Fouls
7
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
3
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 2 – 3
19'
J. Branthwaite
Assist · J. Garner · 0–1
J. Ramsey
Assist · S. Tonali · 1–1
32'
34'
Beto
1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
J. Willock ↓ · J. Ramsey ↑
Substitution 1
46'
53'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Yellow Card
H. Barnes ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 2
56'
J. Murphy ↓ · A. Elanga ↑
Substitution 3
56'
Joe Willock
Yellow Card
61'
67'
James Garner
Yellow Card
74'
T. Barry ↓ · Beto ↑
Substitution 1
Y. Wissa ↓ · K. Trippier ↑
Substitution 4
75'
81'
H. Armstrong ↓ · D. McNeil ↑
Substitution 2
J. Murphy
Assist · Joelinton · 2–2
82'
83'
T. Barry
Assist · K. Dewsbury-Hall · 2–3
W. Osula ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Dan Burn
Yellow Card
88'
89'
M. Keane ↓ · K. Dewsbury-Hall ↑
Substitution 3
90+5'
Thierno Barry
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.75 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.17 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 53% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.22 37% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.45 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.90 31% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 76% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Draw 4.16 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.95 15% Cashed +3.95 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.62 15% Cashed +2.62 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +2.55u +15% ROI