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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Arouca

Match Rio Ave vs Arouca January 31, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 18:00
0:3
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 2.09 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.85 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 46% · book 2.67 ✗
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.69 – 1.47
Δ −0.78
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +13.2% better than the market.

Rio Ave hosts Arouca in a tightly matched Primeira Liga clash. Rio Ave's stronger defensive setup and home momentum could challenge Arouca's modest attacking threat. Both sides show similar recent form, but Rio Ave's slight edge in quality and home comfort may tilt the balance.

  • Rio Ave's compact defense vs Arouca's limited offense
  • Close form trends suggest a cautious game
  • Odds hint at a low-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ✗ Lost
AI 61% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIO 3-4-3 · ARO 4-2-3-1
RIO · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · ARO 22 Chamorro 23 Petrasso 63 Lomboto 6 Abbey 17 Vrousai 5 Ndoj 10 Aguilera 77 Richards 19 Papakanellos 9 Clayton 80 Pohlmann 12 Arruabarrena 28 Esgaio ⚽ 15 Sánchez 3 Fontán 25 Kuipers 22 Ee 21 Fukui 19 Trezza 14 Lee ⚽ 7 Djouahra 17 Barbero ⚽
Subs used · RIO
60' Bezerra ↑ · Richards ↓
73' Panzo ↑ · Lomboto ↓
73' Spikic ↑ · Ntoi ↓
73' Nikitscher ↑ · Papakanellos ↓
80' Zoabi ↑ · Aguilera Zamora ↓
Subs used · ARO
68' Popovic ↑ · Sanchez ↓
76' Gozalbez ↑ · Barbero ↓
76' Mansilla ↑ · Lee ↓
90+2' Monteiro ↑ · van Ee ↓
90+2' Santiago Perez ↑ · Esgaio ↓

📊 Statistics

RIO 0 – 3 ARO
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.69
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.47
8
Total Shots
18
0
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots off Target
8
8
Shots Inside Box
11
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
15
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 3
14'
▮
Espen Van Ee
Yellow Card
44'
⚽
Tiago Esgaio
Assist · J. Fontan · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Francisco Petrasso
Yellow Card
▮
52'
54'
⚽
I. Barbero
0–2
Diogo Bezerra ↓ · O. Richards ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
66'
⚽
H. Lee
Assist · B. Kuipers · 0–3
68'
⇄
B. Popovic ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 1
J. Panzo ↓ · J. Lomboto ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
D. Spikic ↓ · A. Ntoi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
T. Nikitscher ↓ · A. Papakanellos ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
76'
⇄
P. Gozalbez ↓ · I. Barbero ↑
Substitution 2
76'
⇄
B. Mansilla ↓ · H. Lee ↑
Substitution 3
K. Zoabi ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
Clayton
Yellow Card
▮
82'
90+2'
⇄
D. Monteiro ↓ · E. van Ee ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
⇄
J. Santiago Perez ↓ · Tiago Esgaio ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.09 — 56% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.85 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.67 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.86 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.06 — 39% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.09 — 27% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 — 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.55 — 54% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Away Win 3.05 — 27% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 — 88% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.30 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.35 — 64% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.51 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.41u −14% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
RIO – ARO @ 1.85
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →