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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Sporting CP

Match Arouca vs Sporting CP January 24, 2026

Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.22
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.47
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.60
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.10 – 1.05
Δ +0.05
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sporting CP arrives with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they can control the game at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Their potent attack faces a home defense that has been resilient but less tested against such firepower. Expect Sporting’s pressing and quick transitions to challenge Arouca’s compact block.

  • Sporting’s offensive superiority likely to create chances.
  • Arouca’s home momentum and defensive discipline may limit the scoreline.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical battles over end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ARO
70' Dante ↑ · Rocha
70' Flores ↑ · van Ee
76' Gozalbez ↑ · Lee
87' Puche ↑ · Barbero
Subs used · SPO
69' Morita ↑ · Simoes
69' Goncalves ↑ · Trincao
80' Debast ↑ · Reis
80' Santos ↑ · Guilherme

📊 Statistics

ARO 12 SPO
35%
Possession (%)
65%
1.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.05
11
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
14
4
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
3
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

20 · 1 – 2
Matías Rocha
Red Card
-5'
-5'
Matheus Reis
Red Card
35'
L. Suarez
Assist · M. Araujo · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
I. Barbero
Assist · J. Fontan · 1–1
48'
64'
João Simões
Yellow Card
69'
H. Morita ↓ · J. Simoes ↑
Substitution 1
69'
P. Goncalves ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 2
A. Dante ↓ · M. Rocha ↑
Substitution 1
70'
M. Flores ↓ · E. van Ee ↑
Substitution 2
70'
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Yellow Card
76'
P. Gozalbez ↓ · H. Lee ↑
Substitution 3
76'
80'
Z. Debast ↓ · Matheus Reis ↑
Substitution 3
80'
Alisson Santos ↓ · Luis Guilherme ↑
Substitution 4
Naïs Djouahra
Yellow Card
84'
Puche ↓ · I. Barbero ↑
Substitution 4
87'
Javi Sánchez
Yellow Card
88'
90'
Luis Javier Suárez
Yellow Card
90'
L. Suarez
Assist · G. Catamo · 1–2
90+7'
Morten Hjulmand
Yellow Card
90+8'
Rui Silva
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.22 46% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.47 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.60 63% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS No 1.77 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.60 59% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.45 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.01 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.07 94% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Away Win 1.27 79% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.05 79% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 83% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 4.26 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 18.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 13.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.70 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.96u −35% ROI