Match Estoril vs Guimaraes January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Estoril holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack against Guimaraes' leaky defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Guimaraes' defense looks vulnerable to Estoril's pressing and set-piece threat. The home side's compact block and ability to control tempo could limit Guimaraes' chances.

Home advantage with sharper offensive output
Guimaraes' defensive struggles against high pressing
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

EST 4-4-2 · GUI 4-2-3-1

EST · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · GUI

9 Marqués ⚽

Subs used · EST

46'

Pizzi ↑ ·

Lominadze ↓

73'

Tsoungui ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

73'

Costa ↑ ·

Amaral ↓

78'

Xeka ↑ ·

Marques ↓

90+1'

Ferro ↑ ·

Guitane ↓

Subs used · GUI

58'

Gustavo ↑ ·

Saviolo ↓

58'

Sousa ↑ ·

Nogueira ↓

72'

Lebedenko ↑ ·

I. Mendes ↓

72'

Blanco ↑ ·

Samu ↓

82'

Opara ↑ ·

Camara ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 4 – 2 GUI

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.08

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.04

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 4 – 2

22'

▮

Alioune Ndoye

Yellow Card

Rafik Guitane

Yellow Card

▮

26'

27'

⚽

Samu

Assist · G. Nogueira · 0–1

Y. Begraoui

Assist · R. Guitane · 1–1

⚽

29'

Nodar Lominadze

Yellow Card

▮

33'

34'

⚽

M. Mitrovic

1–2

36'

▮

Gonçalo Nogueira

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 2

Pizzi ↓ · N. Lominadze ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

A. Marques

Assist · R. Guitane · 2–2

⚽

56'

58'

⇄

Gustavo ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

D. Sousa ↓ · G. Nogueira ↑

Substitution 2

64'

▮

João Mendes

Yellow Card

A. Marques

Assist · J. Holsgrove · 3–2

⚽

65'

72'

⇄

O. Lebedenko ↓ · J. I. Mendes ↑

Substitution 3

72'

⇄

F. Blanco ↓ · Samu ↑

Substitution 4

A. Tsoungui ↓ · R. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

G. Costa ↓ · P. Amaral ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

Xeka ↓ · A. Marques ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

Y. Begraoui

Assist · Pizzi · 4–2

⚽

78'

82'

⇄

E. Opara ↓ · O. Camara ↑

Substitution 5

Ferro ↓ · R. Guitane ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 4 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.58	—	47%	Cashed	+1.58	Cashed
BTTS No	2.12	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.82	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.09	—	45%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.82	—	51%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.83	—	47%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.11	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	74%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.93	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.42	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	71%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.65	—	25%	Cashed	+2.65	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.16u	−7% ROI