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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Benfica

Match Rio Ave vs Benfica January 17, 2026

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 20:30
0:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 2.25
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.25
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.74
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.19 – 2.48
Δ −2.29
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Benfica arrives with a clear quality edge and recent strong form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Rio Ave’s home momentum and compact defensive block could limit Benfica’s attacking threat, but the visitors’ superior offensive firepower and tactical discipline likely tilt the balance. Expect a controlled pace with chances for both sides, as Rio Ave’s resilience meets Benfica’s pressing edge.

  • Benfica’s attacking quality outmatches Rio Ave’s defense.
  • Home side’s recent form shows fighting spirit.
  • Moderate tempo favors tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RIO 3-4-2-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · RIO
72' Papakanellos ↑ · Athanasiou
73' Nikitscher ↑ · Ntoi
73' Pohlmann ↑ · Luiz
80' Bezerra ↑ · Spikic
80' Liavas ↑ · Aguilera Zamora
Subs used · BEN
62' Lopes Cabral ↑ · Schjelderup
78' Rego ↑ · Prestianni
90' Manu ↑ · Sudakov

📊 Statistics

RIO 02 BEN
37%
Possession (%)
63%
0.19
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.48
7
Total Shots
24
1
Shots on Target
8
2
Shots off Target
11
3
Shots Inside Box
15
3
Corner Kicks
11
2
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
8
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

13 · 0 – 2
16'
L. Barreiro
Assist · G. Sudakov · 0–1
25'
A. Ntoi
Own goal · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
59'
Andreas Schjelderup
Yellow Card
62'
S. Lopes Cabral ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑
Substitution 1
Andreas Ndoj
Yellow Card
66'
A. Papakanellos ↓ · N. Athanasiou ↑
Substitution 1
72'
T. Nikitscher ↓ · A. Ntoi ↑
Substitution 2
73'
O. Pohlmann ↓ · Andre Luiz ↑
Substitution 3
73'
78'
J. Rego ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑
Substitution 2
Diogo Bezerra ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 4
80'
G. Liavas ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑
Substitution 5
80'
90'
Manu ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
Samuel Dahl
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.25 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 44% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.74 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 51% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Away Win 1.34 75% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 66% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.85 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.05 75% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 5.43 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 79% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 3.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 10.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.85 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.71u −34% ROI