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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Guimaraes

Match Casa Pia vs Guimaraes December 28, 2025

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L W D D
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 15:30
0:0
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.40
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 41% · book 2.68
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.75
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.39 – 1.16
Δ −0.77
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Guimaraes arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Casa Pia’s defensive solidity at home offers some resistance, but Guimaraes’ sharper attack against a less robust defense hints at a controlled away performance. The match pace may lean towards a moderate tempo, favoring tactical discipline over frantic end-to-end action.

  • Guimaraes’ offensive edge vs Casa Pia’s defense
  • Home defensive resilience vs away quality gap
  • Form momentum favors visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 4-2-3-1 · GUI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CAS
62' Sousa ↑ · Oukili
62' Cassiano ↑ · Rocha Livramento
74' Perez ↑ · Brito
84' Nsona ↑ · Livolant
84' Severina ↑ · Larrazabal
Subs used · GUI
46' Sousa ↑ · Maga
46' Strata ↑ · Mitrovic
57' Ndoye ↑ · Camara
84' Blanco ↑ · Samu
90+2' Nogueira ↑ · Arcanjo

📊 Statistics

CAS 00 GUI
44%
Possession (%)
56%
0.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.16
5
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
7
3
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
23
Fouls
11
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
4
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 0 – 0
9'
Matija Mitrović
Yellow Card
Yassin Oukili
Yellow Card
30'
Dailon Rocha Livramento
Yellow Card
41'
41'
Miguel Maga
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
D. Sousa ↓ · Maga ↑
Substitution 1
46'
T. Strata ↓ · M. Mitrovic ↑
Substitution 2
57'
A. Ndoye ↓ · O. Camara ↑
Substitution 3
Miguel Sousa ↓ · Y. Oukili ↑
Substitution 1
62'
Cassiano ↓ · D. Rocha Livramento ↑
Substitution 2
62'
David Sousa
Yellow Card
63'
S. Perez ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 3
74'
Miguel Sousa
Yellow Card
79'
K. Nsona ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 4
84'
X. Severina ↓ · G. Larrazabal ↑
Substitution 5
84'
84'
F. Blanco ↓ · Samu ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
M. Nogueira ↓ · T. Arcanjo ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.40 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.68 41% Cashed +1.68 Cashed
BTTS No 1.75 61% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.14 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.66 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.51 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.62 50% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.38 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.59 67% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.35 78% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Draw 3.15 29% Cashed +2.15 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.50 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Cashed +7.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 85% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.11 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.45 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +4.34u +26% ROI