P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Estrela

Match Famalicao vs Estrela December 27, 2025

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 18:00
2:3
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.95
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 66% · book 1.61
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.82
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
2.69 – 0.66
Δ +2.03
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.95 — +12.3% better than the market.

Famalicao holds a clear quality edge over Estrela, boosted by a solid home momentum and a compact defensive block that limits opponent chances. Their attacking play matches well against Estrela's defensive setup, suggesting control in midfield and effective transitions. Recent form favors Famalicao slightly, hinting at a disciplined approach to maintain pressure and capitalize on set-piece opportunities.

  • Home side's defensive solidity vs away's moderate offense
  • Positive recent form supporting home confidence
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ✗ Lost
AI 58% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FAM 4-2-3-1 · EST 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FAM
68' Elisor ↑ · De Amorim
79' Abubakar ↑ · Zabiri
79' Beney ↑ · Soares
90' Garcia ↑ · Pinheiro
90' Joujou ↑ · Sorriso
Subs used · EST
44' Montoia ↑ · Otavio
69' Robinho ↑ · Sola
69' Stoica ↑ · Marcus
77' Pinho ↑ · Kikas
78' Chernev ↑ · Jovane

📊 Statistics

FAM 23 EST
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.69
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.66
22
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
1
14
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
18
Fouls
16
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
3
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

23 · 2 – 3
Luan Patrick
Own goal · 1–0
8'
10'
Kikas
Assist · Otavio · 1–1
18'
Jefferson Encada
Yellow Card
24'
Jovane
1–2
Sorriso
Assist · Gil Dias · 2–2
27'
Gustavo Sá
Yellow Card
36'
44'
G. Montoia ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 2
51'
Jovane
2–3
S. Elisor ↓ · M. De Amorim ↑
Substitution 1
68'
69'
Robinho ↓ · A. Sola ↑
Substitution 2
69'
I. Stoica ↓ · A. Marcus ↑
Substitution 3
77'
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ · Kikas ↑
Substitution 4
78'
A. Chernev ↓ · Jovane ↑
Substitution 5
U. Abubakar ↓ · Y. Zabiri ↑
Substitution 2
79'
R. Beney ↓ · Rafa Soares ↑
Substitution 3
79'
81'
Atanas Chernev
Yellow Card
82'
Rodrigo Pinho
Yellow Card
Romeo Beney
Yellow Card
84'
88'
Ianis Stoica
Yellow Card
Gil Dias
Yellow Card
90'
Garcia ↓ · R. Pinheiro ↑
Substitution 4
90'
A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑
Substitution 5
90'
90+1'
Guilherme Montóia
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.95 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.61 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.82 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.03 43% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 42% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.40 34% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.50 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.21 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 90% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.32 68% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.45 22% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
Away Win 6.20 12% Cashed +5.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.47 12% Cashed +3.47 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +5.93u +35% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
FAM – EST @ 1.95
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →