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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — GIL Vicente

Match Arouca vs GIL Vicente December 28, 2025

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 15:30
2:2
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
L W D L L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.83
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.70
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.03
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.36 – 1.88
Δ −0.52
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.83 — +8.4% better than the market.

GIL Vicente enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack, while Arouca struggles to find form at home. The visitors' defensive solidity contrasts with Arouca's vulnerabilities, suggesting a tactical upper hand. Expect a controlled pace with limited goal-scoring chances as both sides show recent draws and cautious approaches.

  • GIL Vicente's offensive pressure vs Arouca's leaky defense
  • Home side's recent dips in momentum
  • Likely compact, low-scoring affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.83 ✗ Lost
AI 59% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ARO 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ARO
64' Popovic ↑ · Fayed
64' Gozalbez ↑ · Lee
78' Puche ↑ · Barbero
83' Fukui ↑ · Santos
83' Mansilla ↑ · Djouahra
Subs used · VIC
75' Carlos ↑ · Garcia
75' Fernandes ↑ · Toure
75' Varela ↑ · Pablo
86' Fernandez ↑ · Esteves
90+1' Bamba ↑ · Caseres

📊 Statistics

ARO 22 VIC
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.88
9
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
5
5
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
6
13
Fouls
5
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
5
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

21 · 2 – 2
H. Lee
Assist · A. Trezza · 1–0
8'
A. Trezza
2–0
12'
41'
Pablo
Assist · L. Esteves · 2–1
Half-time · 2 – 1
48'
Murilo de Souza
2–2
Omar Fayed
Yellow Card
57'
B. Popovic ↓ · O. Fayed ↑
Substitution 1
64'
P. Gozalbez ↓ · H. Lee ↑
Substitution 2
64'
75'
Ze Carlos ↓ · S. Garcia ↑
Substitution 1
75'
J. Fernandes ↓ · T. Toure ↑
Substitution 2
75'
G. Varela ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 3
Pedro Santos
Yellow Card
77'
Puche ↓ · I. Barbero ↑
Substitution 3
78'
80'
Facundo Cáseres
Yellow Card
T. Fukui ↓ · Pedro Santos ↑
Substitution 4
83'
B. Mansilla ↓ · N. Djouahra ↑
Substitution 5
83'
Espen Van Ee
Yellow Card
86'
86'
M. Fernandez ↓ · L. Esteves ↑
Substitution 4
Tiago Esgaio
Yellow Card
90'
90+1'
M. Bamba ↓ · F. Caseres ↑
Substitution 5
Boris Popović
Yellow Card
90+7'
90+7'
Mohamed Bamba
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.83 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.70 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.03 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.04 41% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.26 36% Cashed +1.26 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.88 44% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.26 83% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 62% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.42 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 87% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.41 26% Cashed +2.41 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.97 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 18% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Home Win 4.25 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.69u +4% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
ARO – VIC @ 1.83
+8.4%
Edge
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