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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — AVS

Match FC Porto vs AVS December 29, 2025

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Mon 29 Dec · 20:15
2:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.79
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 42% · book 2.60
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.16
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.50 – 0.29
Δ +2.21
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.79 — +8.0% better than the market.

FC Porto enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a significant quality edge over AVS. Their robust defensive setup combined with a potent attack is likely to challenge AVS’s less effective defense. The home side’s pressing edge and superior form suggest control of the match tempo, while AVS may struggle to create clear chances.

  • Porto’s compact block limits AVS’s attacking threat
  • Home crowd support fuels Porto’s confidence
  • AVS’s recent draws and losses hint at offensive struggles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.79 ✓ Cashed
AI 60% Implied 56% +0.79u
+79%
ROI on stake

Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · AVS 5-4-1
Subs used · POR
46' Ramos ↑ · Costa
59' Veiga ↑ · Mora
59' Alarcon ↑ · Gomes
75' Varela ↑ · Moura
84' Costa ↑ · Fernandes
Subs used · AVS
57' Assuncao ↑ · Grau
57' Neiva ↑ · Perea
71' Mendonca ↑ · Lima
82' Nene ↑ · Tomane
82' Barbosa ↑ · Spencer

📊 Statistics

POR 20 AVS
70%
Possession (%)
30%
2.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.29
18
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
1
11
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
1
7
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
7
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
62%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 2 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
Claudio Ramos ↓ · D. Costa ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Samu
Assist · Pepe · 1–0
47'
50'
Jaume Grau
Yellow Card
William Gomes
Yellow Card
52'
57'
G. Assuncao ↓ · J. Grau ↑
Substitution 1
57'
G. Neiva ↓ · O. Perea ↑
Substitution 2
G. Veiga ↓ · R. Mora ↑
Substitution 2
59'
A. Alarcon ↓ · William Gomes ↑
Substitution 3
59'
Samu (P)
Penalty · 2–0
64'
71'
G. Mendonca ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑
Substitution 3
A. Varela ↓ · F. Moura ↑
Substitution 4
75'
82'
Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑
Substitution 4
82'
R. Barbosa ↓ · D. Spencer ↑
Substitution 5
A. Costa ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 5
84'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.79 60% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.60 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.16 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.88 38% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Draw 10.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.39 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.02 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.13 85% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
BTTS No 1.53 58% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.44 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.02 85% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 21.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 82% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Away Win 29.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 16.50 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.46u −32% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
POR – AVS @ 1.79
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →