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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Brentford — Brighton

Match Brentford vs Brighton February 21, 2026

Brentford
Brentford
Home · last 5 L W L D D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 15:00
0:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Brentford Community Stadium · London Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.07
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.83
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.67
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.74 – 1.11
Δ +0.63
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brentford holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their offensive edge against Brighton's defense suggests they can create chances, while Brentford's home comfort adds a pressing advantage. Brighton's defensive solidity might keep the scoreline tight, but their struggles on the road and lower recent points per game hint at a tough outing.

  • Brentford's sharper attack vs Brighton's defense
  • Home crowd and tactical pressing edge
  • Brighton's inconsistent away form and lower scoring

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · BRI 4-3-3
Subs used · BRE
45' Collins ↑ · Hickey
46' Schade ↑ · Lewis-Potter
46' Yarmolyuk ↑ · Janelt
67' Damsgaard ↑ · Henderson
81' Donovan ↑ · Ajer
Subs used · BRI
65' Veltman ↑ · Wieffer
76' De Cuyper ↑ · Gomez
90' Baleba ↑ · Milner

📊 Statistics

BRE 02 BRI
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.11
13
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
7
10
Shots off Target
3
9
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
14
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 0 – 2
12'
Mats Wieffer
Yellow Card
30'
D. Gomez
0–1
N. Collins ↓ · A. Hickey ↑
Substitution 1
45'
45'
D. Welbeck
0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
K. Schade ↓ · K. Lewis-Potter ↑
Substitution 2
46'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↓ · V. Janelt ↑
Substitution 3
46'
54'
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Yellow Card
65'
J. Veltman ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑
Substitution 1
M. Damsgaard ↓ · J. Henderson ↑
Substitution 4
67'
76'
M. De Cuyper ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 2
R. Donovan ↓ · K. Ajer ↑
Substitution 5
81'
90'
C. Baleba ↓ · J. Milner ↑
Substitution 3
Yehor Yarmolyuk
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.07 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.83 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.27 42% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.14 44% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.84 44% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.65 20% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.34 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.53 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 78% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.90 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.15 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.90 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.62 20% Cashed +2.62 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.73u −4% ROI