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Football Portugal Primeira Liga AVS — Nacional

Match AVS vs Nacional December 21, 2025

AVS
AVS
Home · last 5 D D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 15:30
2:2
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves Referee Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.40
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.72
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.88
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.21 – 1.30
Δ −0.09
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Nacional arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves. AVS’s defensive struggles and poor home momentum contrast with Nacional’s more balanced attack and defense, hinting at an away advantage. The match may lean towards a controlled tempo given moderate goal expectations, favoring Nacional’s ability to capitalize on set-pieces and maintain pressure.

  • Significant quality gap favors away side
  • Home defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate pace with tactical discipline expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

AVS 3-4-3 · NAC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AVS
68' Barbosa ↑ · Perea
68' Rivas ↑ · Kiki
80' Assuncao ↑ · Lima
80' Santos ↑ · Grau
84' Escobar ↑ · Tomane
Subs used · NAC
46' Gomes ↑ · Dias
46' Labidi ↑ · Vallier
83' Nourani ↑ · Ruan
83' Joao ↑ · Baeza
90+2' Sousa ↑ · Liziero

📊 Statistics

AVS 22 NAC
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.21
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.30
15
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
10
9
Shots Inside Box
12
9
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
11
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
Tomane
1–0
35'
T. Akinsola
Assist · D. Spencer · 2–0
43'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
Jose Gomes ↓ · Matheus Dias ↑
Substitution 1
46'
C. Labidi ↓ · L. Vallier ↑
Substitution 2
50'
Ze Vitor
Assist · C. Labidi · 2–1
Tomané
Yellow Card
57'
61'
J. Ramirez
2–2
R. Barbosa ↓ · O. Perea ↑
Substitution 1
68'
L. Rivas ↓ · Kiki ↑
Substitution 2
68'
Rúben Semedo
Red Card
73'
G. Assuncao ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑
Substitution 3
80'
A. Santos ↓ · J. Grau ↑
Substitution 4
80'
83'
M. Nourani ↓ · Pablo Ruan ↑
Substitution 3
83'
L. Joao ↓ · M. Baeza ↑
Substitution 4
J. Escobar ↓ · Tomane ↑
Substitution 5
84'
90+2'
A. Sousa ↓ · Liziero ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.40 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.72 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.88 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.28 38% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 44% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.70 50% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.60 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.44 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.10 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.36 78% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 65% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.27 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 88% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.36 27% Cashed +2.36 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.33 19% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Home Win 3.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.47u +3% ROI