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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — FC Porto

Match Alverca vs FC Porto December 22, 2025

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Mon 22 Dec · 18:45
0:3
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.96
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 2.33
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 1.96
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.73 – 1.45
Δ −0.72
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.96 — +11.7% better than the market.

FC Porto arrives with a commanding quality edge and a flawless recent run, contrasting with Alverca's mixed form. Despite Alverca's slight home momentum, Porto's offensive power faces a less resilient defense, suggesting they can break through. The balanced odds on goals hint at an open game, where Porto's pressing and set-piece threat could dominate.

  • Porto's superior quality and form advantage
  • Alverca's defensive struggles against strong attacks
  • Potential for a lively, goal-rich encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.96 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 51% +0.96u
+96%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · POR 4-3-3
Subs used · ALV
67' Leite ↑ · Marezi
73' Nuozzi ↑ · Lincoln
84' Gui ↑ · Amorim
84' Lima ↑ · Figueiredo
Subs used · POR
46' Moura ↑ · Costa
59' Gomes ↑ · Pepê
59' Veiga ↑ · Mora
75' Eustaquio ↑ · Varela
80' Gul ↑ · Sainz

📊 Statistics

ALV 03 POR
40%
Possession (%)
60%
0.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
8
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
2
6
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
12
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

14 · 0 – 3
29'
B. Sainz
Assist · R. Mora · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
F. Moura ↓ · A. Costa ↑
Substitution 1
57'
A. Varela
0–2
59'
William Gomes ↓ · Pepê ↑
Substitution 2
59'
G. Veiga ↓ · R. Mora ↑
Substitution 3
63'
Borja Sainz
Yellow Card
T. Leite ↓ · Marezi ↑
Substitution 1
67'
69'
B. Sainz
Assist · F. Moura · 0–3
C. Nuozzi ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 2
73'
75'
S. Eustaquio ↓ · A. Varela ↑
Substitution 4
80'
D. Gul ↓ · B. Sainz ↑
Substitution 5
D. Gui ↓ · Amorim ↑
Substitution 3
84'
Felipe Lima ↓ · Figueiredo ↑
Substitution 4
84'
Sabit Abdulai
Yellow Card
85'
Full-time · 0 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.96 57% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.33 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.96 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.62 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 1.40 73% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.15 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.10 73% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.32 79% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 94% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.98 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 65% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 10.25 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.80 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.10u −36% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
ALV – POR @ 1.96
+11.7%
Edge
Forecast →