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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Guimaraes

Match Rio Ave vs Guimaraes December 13, 2025

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 13 Dec · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 2.78
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.02
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.82
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.44 – 1.73
Δ −1.29
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rio Ave hosts Guimaraes in a tightly matched Primeira Liga clash. Rio Ave's home edge is moderate, supported by a solid defensive setup that counters Guimaraes' less potent attack. Both sides show similar overall quality, but Rio Ave's slightly better recent form and higher expected goals suggest they hold a subtle momentum advantage.

  • Compact defensive block from Rio Ave
  • Guimaraes' pressing may struggle against home resilience
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

Expect a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances. The balance of power leans slightly to the hosts, but Guimaraes' resilience could keep it tight, hinting at a low-scoring encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RIO 3-4-3 · GUI 4-4-2
Subs used · RIO
46' Brabec ↑ · Petrasso
46' Liavas ↑ · Pohlmann
78' Papakanellos ↑ · Nikitscher
78' Tome ↑ · Abbey
89' Zoabi ↑ · Aguilera Zamora
Subs used · GUI
46' Strata ↑ · Maga
59' Samu ↑ · Arcanjo
67' Mitrovic ↑ · Beni
67' Oliveira ↑ · Ndoye
73' Felix ↑ · Saviolo

📊 Statistics

RIO 01 GUI
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.44
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.73
7
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
8
5
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
15
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
4
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 0 – 1
Marios Vrousai
Yellow Card
18'
26'
Miguel Maga
Yellow Card
Marios Vrousai
Yellow Card
29'
Francisco Petrasso
Yellow Card
29'
Marios Vrousai
Red Card
29'
35'
O. Camara
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Brabec ↓ · F. Petrasso ↑
Substitution 1
46'
G. Liavas ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
T. Strata ↓ · Maga ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Samu ↓ · T. Arcanjo ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Rodrigo Abascal
Yellow Card
63'
Beni Mukendi
Yellow Card
67'
M. Mitrovic ↓ · Beni ↑
Substitution 3
67'
N. Oliveira ↓ · A. Ndoye ↑
Substitution 4
Clayton
Yellow Card
70'
73'
V. Felix ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑
Substitution 5
A. Papakanellos ↓ · T. Nikitscher ↑
Substitution 3
78'
J. Tome ↓ · N. Abbey ↑
Substitution 4
78'
K. Zoabi ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑
Substitution 5
89'
90+1'
Vando Félix
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.78 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.02 52% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.82 57% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Away Win 2.70 35% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.86 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.97 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.97 35% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.51 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.52 61% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 31% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.31 77% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.45 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.19u −7% ROI