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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Manchester City — Newcastle

Match Manchester City vs Newcastle February 21, 2026

England   /   Premier League
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
L W D W L Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Thomas Bramall, England
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.84 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.55 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.60 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.35 – 0.40
Δ +0.95
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Newcastle. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled against high-pressing teams, suggesting City’s offensive pressure could yield goals. Newcastle’s recent form shows signs of inconsistency, and their defensive resilience will be tested at the Etihad.

  • Home advantage with a compact, high-tempo style
  • City’s attacking edge against Newcastle’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Newcastle’s patchy form and away struggles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MCI 4-1-3-2 · NEW 4-3-3
MCI · 4-1-3-2 4-3-3 · NEW 25 Donnarumma 27 Nunes 3 Dias 15 Guéhi 21 Aït-Nouri 16 Rodri 42 Semenyo 20 Silva 33 O'Reilly ⚽ 9 Haaland 7 Marmoush 1 Pope 2 Trippier 12 Thiaw 33 Burn 3 Hall ⚽ 41 Ramsey 8 Tonali 28 Willock 20 Elanga 27 Woltemade 10 Gordon
Subs used · MCI
46' Khusanov ↑ · Dias ↓
58' Cherki ↑ · Marmoush ↓
87' Foden ↑ · Semenyo ↓
Subs used · NEW
60' Joelinton ↑ · Woltemade ↓
60' Barnes ↑ · Willock ↓
78' Osula ↑ · Gordon ↓
78' Murphy ↑ · Elanga ↓

📊 Statistics

MCI 2 – 1 NEW
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.40
15
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
5
12
Fouls
13
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
5
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 1
9'
▮
Dan Burn
Yellow Card
N. O'Reilly
Assist · O. Marmoush · 1–0
⚽
14'
22'
⚽
L. Hall
Assist · J. Ramsey · 1–1
N. O'Reilly
Assist · E. Haaland · 2–1
⚽
27'
Rúben Dias
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Half-time · 2 – 1
A. Khusanov ↓ · R. Dias ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
48'
▮
Joe Willock
Yellow Card
Bernardo Silva
Yellow Card
▮
50'
R. Cherki ↓ · O. Marmoush ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
60'
⇄
Joelinton ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
H. Barnes ↓ · J. Willock ↑
Substitution 2
62'
▮
Harvey Barnes
Yellow Card
65'
▮
Kieran Trippier
Yellow Card
78'
⇄
W. Osula ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⇄
J. Murphy ↓ · A. Elanga ↑
Substitution 4
P. Foden ↓ · A. Semenyo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
87'
89'
▮
Joelinton
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.84 — 57% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS No 2.55 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.60 — 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.13 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.51 — 70% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.00 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 — 89% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.45 — 65% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.21 — 70% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.81 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 7.00 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.33 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 23.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 — 84% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Away Win 6.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.35 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.06u −36% ROI