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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — Sporting CP

Match Benfica vs Sporting CP December 5, 2025

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Fri 05 Dec · 20:15
1:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Antonio Nobre, Portugal
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 2.05
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 64% · book 1.78
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.63
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.37 – 0.50
Δ +0.87
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.78 — +14.7% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and a sharper attack against Benfica's defense. Despite Benfica's slight home momentum, Sporting's recent form shows resilience and goal threat, suggesting a lively contest. The home side's defensive solidity faces a stern test from Sporting's dynamic offense, while the match pace hints at an open game with multiple scoring chances.

  • Sporting's offensive firepower challenges Benfica's backline.
  • Benfica's home edge is moderate but may be offset by Sporting's form.
  • Expect a balanced tempo favoring goal-scoring opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 56% +0.78u
+78%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BEN
81' Prestianni ↑ · Sudakov
86' Ivanovic ↑ · Pavlidis
88' Manu ↑ · Barrenechea
Subs used · SPO
61' Quenda ↑ · Morita
61' Simoes ↑ · Goncalves
86' Santos ↑ · Trincao
86' Ioannidis ↑ · Suarez

📊 Statistics

BEN 11 SPO
41%
Possession (%)
59%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.50
10
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
2
5
Shots Inside Box
3
3
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
20
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
-5'
Pedro Gonçalves
Yellow Card
12'
P. Goncalves
Assist · M. Hjulmand · 0–1
G. Sudakov
Assist · A. Dedic · 1–1
27'
30'
Hidemasa Morita
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
Leandro Barreiro
Yellow Card
56'
61'
G. Quenda ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 1
61'
J. Simoes ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑
Substitution 2
65'
Luis Javier Suárez
Yellow Card
Vangelis Pavlidis
Yellow Card
67'
72'
Iván Fresneda
Yellow Card
75'
Maximiliano Araújo
Yellow Card
G. Prestianni ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑
Substitution 1
81'
F. Ivanovic ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 2
86'
86'
Alisson Santos ↓ · Trincao ↑
Substitution 3
86'
F. Ioannidis ↓ · L. Suarez ↑
Substitution 4
Manu ↓ · E. Barrenechea ↑
Substitution 3
88'
Gianluca Prestianni
Red Card
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.05 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 64% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Away Win 2.63 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.86 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.90 40% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.09 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.46 73% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 83% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 54% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Home Win 2.83 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 95% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.53 26% Cashed +2.53 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 59% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.03u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – SPO @ 1.78
+14.7%
Edge
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