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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Alverca

Match Casa Pia vs Alverca November 29, 2025

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L W D D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:30
0:2
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.87
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.65
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 41% · book 2.15
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.17 – 1.41
Δ −1.24
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Alverca enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Casa Pia’s defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Alverca’s slightly stronger attack versus Casa Pia’s defense hints at some goal threat. The match pace looks moderate, favoring a tactical battle rather than a high-scoring affair.

  • Alverca’s form momentum contrasts Casa Pia’s struggles.
  • Defensive resilience from Casa Pia may limit chances.
  • Moderate tempo likely to keep the game balanced.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 3-4-3 · ALV 3-4-3
Subs used · CAS
45+7' Batista ↑ · Cassiano
62' Rocha Livramento ↑ · Nsona
62' Benaissa-Yahia ↑ · Conte
62' Nhaga ↑ · Brito
80' Morais ↑ · Rocha
Subs used · ALV
62' Martinez ↑ · Meupiyou
62' Marezi ↑ · Nuozzi
81' Figueiredo ↑ · Abdulai
82' Gui ↑ · Lima
90+7' James ↑ · Lincoln

📊 Statistics

CAS 02 ALV
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.17
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.41
5
Total Shots
10
0
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
17
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

21 · 0 – 2
Cassiano
Yellow Card
43'
José Fonte
Yellow Card
45+3'
Patrick Sequeira
Red Card
45+3'
Half-time · 0 – 0
50'
Bastien Meupiyou
Yellow Card
R. Batista ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 1
45+7'
André Geraldes
Yellow Card
45+8'
D. Rocha Livramento ↓ · K. Nsona ↑
Substitution 2
62'
F. Benaissa-Yahia ↓ · A. Conte ↑
Substitution 3
62'
R. Nhaga ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 4
62'
62'
J. Martinez ↓ · B. Meupiyou ↑
Substitution 1
62'
Marezi ↓ · C. Nuozzi ↑
Substitution 2
Gaizka Larrazabal
Yellow Card
72'
76'
Lincoln
Assist · Sandro Lima · 0–1
T. Morais ↓ · Kaique Rocha ↑
Substitution 5
80'
81'
Figueiredo ↓ · S. Abdulai ↑
Substitution 3
82'
D. Gui ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Marezi
Assist · N. Touaizi · 0–2
90+1'
Davy Gui
Yellow Card
90+4'
Alexsandro Amorim
Yellow Card
90+6'
Marko Milovanović
Yellow Card
90+7'
I. James ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.87 57% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.65 64% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.15 41% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.40 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.00 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.60 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.79 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 70% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 3.10 41% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.90 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.41 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.12 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.45 62% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 82% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.87u −17% ROI