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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Estrela — Nacional

Match Estrela vs Nacional November 9, 2025

Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
W W L L W Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.67
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.25
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.78
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.22 – 1.26
Δ +0.96
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Estrela hosts Nacional in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form. Nacional’s defensive solidity should challenge Estrela’s moderate attacking threat, while Estrela’s home comfort is somewhat offset by their leaky defense. The match hints at a tactical battle with Nacional’s compact block likely to frustrate the home side’s forward play.

  • Nacional’s defensive discipline vs Estrela’s attack
  • Home side’s struggle to convert chances
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

EST 3-4-3 · NAC 5-4-1
Subs used · EST
18' Schappo ↑ · Encada
46' Jovane
56' Stoica ↑ · Robinho
84' Antonetti ↑ · Marcus
84' Meireles ↑ · Kikas
Subs used · NAC
85' Nourani ↑ · Boia
85' Joao ↑ · Ramirez
85' Watts ↑ · Witi

📊 Statistics

EST 11 NAC
62%
Possession (%)
38%
2.22
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.26
14
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
11
8
Shots Inside Box
12
2
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
15
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
3
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
Bernardo Schappo ↓ · J. Encada ↑
Substitution 1
18'
Guilherme Montóia
Yellow Card
22'
Bernardo Schappo
Yellow Card
26'
40'
Jose Gomes
Assist · Liziero · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Jovane ↓ ·
Substitution 2
46'
45+4'
Léo Santos
Yellow Card
I. Stoica ↓ · Robinho ↑
Substitution 3
56'
S. Cabral (P)
Penalty · 1–1
62'
Atanas Chernev
Yellow Card
74'
L. Antonetti ↓ · A. Marcus ↑
Substitution 4
84'
J. Meireles ↓ · Kikas ↑
Substitution 5
84'
85'
M. Nourani ↓ · Paulinho Boia ↑
Substitution 1
85'
L. Joao ↓ · J. Ramirez ↑
Substitution 2
85'
Watts ↓ · Witi ↑
Substitution 3
87'
Martim Gustavo Watts
Yellow Card
90+2'
Chiheb Labidi
Yellow Card
90+7'
Francisco Gonçalves
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.67 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.25 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.78 55% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.93 49% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.89 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.01 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.46 73% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 70% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.52 54% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Home Win 2.83 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.30 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 76% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.05 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 27% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.12u −18% ROI