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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Rio Ave

Match Alverca vs Rio Ave November 8, 2025

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.60
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.20
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.91
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.67 – 0.60
Δ +1.07
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Rio Ave holds a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form, suggesting they can impose their attacking threat on Alverca’s defense. The home side’s defensive solidity might keep things tight, but Rio Ave’s sharper offense and overall strength hint at an away advantage. Expect a balanced tempo with potential for a few goals given both teams’ moderate scoring and conceding patterns.

  • Rio Ave’s offensive edge against Alverca’s defense
  • Home side’s resilience could limit scoring
  • Moderate pace likely with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · RIO 3-4-3
Subs used · ALV
69' Lima ↑ · Nuozzi
78' Gui ↑ · Abdulai
78' Leite ↑ · Marezi
90+5' Esteves ↑ · Lincoln
90+5' Cabezas ↑ · Amorim
Subs used · RIO
63' Spikic ↑ · Pohlmann
87' Nikitscher ↑ · Aguilera Zamora
87' Liavas ↑ · Athanasiou
90+5' Papakanellos ↑ · Luiz

📊 Statistics

ALV 11 RIO
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.67
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
16
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 1 – 1
35'
Clayton
Assist · M. Vrousai · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
63'
D. Spikic ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑
Substitution 1
Sandro Lima ↓ · C. Nuozzi ↑
Substitution 1
69'
Sandro Lima
Assist · Lincoln · 1–1
77'
D. Gui ↓ · S. Abdulai ↑
Substitution 2
78'
T. Leite ↓ · Marezi ↑
Substitution 3
78'
Francisco Chissumba
Yellow Card
81'
Davy Gui
Yellow Card
82'
87'
T. Nikitscher ↓ · B. Aguilera Zamora ↑
Substitution 2
87'
G. Liavas ↓ · N. Athanasiou ↑
Substitution 3
G. Esteves ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 4
90+5'
G. Cabezas ↓ · Amorim ↑
Substitution 5
90+5'
90+5'
A. Papakanellos ↓ · Andre Luiz ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.60 67% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.20 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.76 55% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 49% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.21 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.46 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.76 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.15 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 76% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 27% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.15u −19% ROI