Match Estoril vs Arouca November 7, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Estoril holds a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record at home, which could frustrate Arouca's moderate attack. Recent form shows both sides struggling for consistency, but Estoril's home momentum and defensive discipline suggest a tight contest with limited goals. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo given balanced over/under odds.

Home defensive solidity versus away attack
Close recent form but home edge in quality
Likely compact, low-scoring game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

EST 3-4-3 · ARO 4-2-3-1

EST · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · ARO

12 Carvalho ⚽

Subs used · EST

46'

Ferro ↑ ·

Carvalho ↓

46'

Peixinho ↑ ·

Lominadze ↓

65'

Parente ↑ ·

Costa ↓

71'

Brito ↑ ·

Lacximicant ↓

77'

Guitane ↑

Subs used · ARO

46'

Trezza ↑ ·

Barbero ↓

71'

Gozalbez ↑ ·

Simao ↓

71'

Nandin ↑ ·

Esgaio ↓

71'

Pinto ↑ ·

Puche ↓

84'

Fayed ↑ ·

Lee ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 4 – 3 ARO

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.78

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 4 – 3

⚽

T. Fukui

0–1

T. Fukui

Own goal · 1–1

⚽

10'

Nodar Lominadze

Yellow Card

▮

17'

31'

⚽

N. Djouahra

Assist · Puche · 1–2

K. Boma

Assist · J. Holsgrove · 2–2

⚽

43'

Half-time · 2 – 2

Ferro ↓ · P. Carvalho ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Peixinho ↓ · N. Lominadze ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

A. Trezza ↓ · I. Barbero ↑

Substitution 1

J. Holsgrove

Assist · Y. Begraoui · 3–2

⚽

51'

T. Parente ↓ · G. Costa ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

65'

T. Brito ↓ · A. Lacximicant ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

⇄

P. Gozalbez ↓ · D. Simao ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

D. Nandin ↓ · Tiago Esgaio ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⇄

Alex Pinto ↓ · Puche ↑

Substitution 4

74'

⚽

N. Djouahra

Assist · A. Sola · 3–3

Felix Bacher

Yellow Card

▮

75'

R. Guitane ↓ ·

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

84'

⇄

O. Fayed ↓ · H. Lee ↑

Substitution 5

J. Carvalho

Assist · R. Guitane · 4–3

⚽

86'

Antef Tsoungui

Yellow Card

▮

90'

▮

Omar Fayed

Yellow Card

Full-time · 4 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.11	—	55%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.81	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	43%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.98	—	39%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.80	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.34	—	80%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.80	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.60	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.51	—	55%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.69	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	64%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Away Win	3.80	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.41	—	20%	Cashed	+2.41	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.49u	−15% ROI