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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Estrela

Match Casa Pia vs Estrela November 1, 2025

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L W D D
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 18:00
3:5
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 61% · book 1.78
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.64
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.77
Total goals
8
3 · 5
xG (open play)
1.07 – 2.17
Δ −1.10
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Casa Pia vs Estrela Preview

Estrela holds a slight quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they arrive with more momentum. Casa Pia’s defensive solidity contrasts with Estrela’s sharper attack, setting a tactical battle between a compact home block and away pressing. The modest home edge hints at a balanced contest, while odds suggest a cautious pace with fewer goals expected.

  • Estrela’s attacking threat vs Casa Pia’s defense
  • Home side’s resilience and tactical discipline
  • Moderate tempo likely to limit scoring chances

Expect a tight game where defensive organization and set-piece moments could be decisive, with both sides cautious to avoid mistakes.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 3-4-3 · EST 3-4-3
Subs used · CAS
73' Rocha Livramento ↑ · Larrazabal
73' Severina ↑ · Rocha
78' Sousa ↑ · Mohamed
79' Perez ↑ · Nhaga
90' Benaissa-Yahia ↑ · Fonte
Subs used · EST
55' Jovane ↑ · Meireles
55' Montoia ↑ · Otavio
71' Pinho ↑ · Kikas
89' Robinho ↑ · Marcus
89' Sola ↑ · Encada

📊 Statistics

CAS 35 EST
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.07
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.17
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
2
5
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
20
Fouls
21
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

23 · 3 – 5
Cassiano
Assist · K. Nsona · 1–0
34'
36'
Kikas
Assist · A. Marcus · 1–1
45'
S. Cabral (P)
Penalty · 1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
I. Mohamed
2–2
48'
53'
Otavio
Yellow Card
55'
Jovane ↓ · J. Meireles ↑
Substitution 1
55'
G. Montoia ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 2
Patrick Sequeira
Yellow Card
61'
65'
S. Cabral (P)
Penalty · 2–3
67'
P. Moreira
Assist · Kikas · 2–4
71'
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ · Kikas ↑
Substitution 3
D. Rocha Livramento ↓ · G. Larrazabal ↑
Substitution 1
73'
X. Severina ↓ · Kaique Rocha ↑
Substitution 2
73'
74'
Paulo Moreira
Yellow Card
José Fonte
Yellow Card
75'
Miguel Sousa ↓ · I. Mohamed ↑
Substitution 3
78'
S. Perez ↓ · R. Nhaga ↑
Substitution 4
79'
82'
S. Cabral
Assist · O. Ngom · 2–5
J. Fonte
Assist · Miguel Sousa · 3–5
85'
89'
Robinho ↓ · A. Marcus ↑
Substitution 4
89'
A. Sola ↓ · J. Encada ↑
Substitution 5
F. Benaissa-Yahia ↓ · J. Fonte ↑
Substitution 5
90'
90+6'
Alex Sola
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 5

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.78 61% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.64 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.77 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.15 40% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Home Win 2.15 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.45 34% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.90 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.10 33% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.90 33% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.47 61% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.30 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.22 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.11 86% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Draw 3.32 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.48 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.60 17% Cashed +3.60 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +3.56u +21% ROI