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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Santa Clara

Match Guimaraes vs Santa Clara October 4, 2025

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 19:30
2:1
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal
Miss
Away Team Total Under 0.5
Away Team Total Under 0.5
AI 42% · book 2.50
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 41% · book 2.55
Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 36% · book 2.88
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.13 – 1.34
Δ +0.79
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Guimaraes vs Santa Clara — betting preview

This projects as a controlled, lower-scoring matchup. Guimaraes carry a modest home lean and slightly sturdier structure, while Santa Clara’s away threat looks intermittent. Expect long spells of midfield traffic, few clean looks, and the draw to be a live state if the first hour stays cagey. The clearest angles are conservative totals and selective fades of team scoring rather than chasing big prices on either side.

Main risks: an early goal flipping the game state; set-piece variance; late chasing that can inflate totals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · SAN 3-4-2-1
Subs used · GUI
46' Mitrovic ↑ · Nogueira
46' Lebedenko ↑ · I. Mendes
46' Ndoye ↑ · Oliveira
59' Arcanjo ↑ · Beni
70' Camara ↑ · Saviolo
Subs used · SAN
46' Calila ↑ · Soares
59' Serginho ↑ · Luquinhas
59' Victor ↑ · Lopes
65' Manoel
77' Brenner ↑ · Wendell

📊 Statistics

GUI 21 SAN
52%
Possession (%)
48%
2.13
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.34
14
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
7
8
Shots Inside Box
11
9
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
11
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

22 · 2 – 1
6'
Vinicius Lopes
Assist · Wendell · 0–1
13'
Sidney Lima
Yellow Card
28'
Vinícius Lopes
Yellow Card
Noah Saviolo
Yellow Card
30'
Beni Mukendi
Yellow Card
36'
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Mitrovic ↓ · M. Nogueira ↑
Substitution 1
46'
O. Lebedenko ↓ · J. I. Mendes ↑
Substitution 2
46'
A. Ndoye ↓ · N. Oliveira ↑
Substitution 3
46'
46'
Diogo Calila ↓ · Lucas Soares ↑
Substitution 1
T. Arcanjo ↓ · Beni ↑
Substitution 4
59'
59'
Serginho ↓ · Luquinhas ↑
Substitution 2
59'
Paulo Victor ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑
Substitution 3
65'
Elias Manoel ↓ ·
Substitution 4
O. Camara ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑
Substitution 5
70'
Fabio Blanco
Yellow Card
72'
A. Ndoye
Assist · Samu · 1–1
73'
77'
Brenner ↓ · Wendell ↑
Substitution 5
Samu
2–1
78'
81'
Adriano Firmino
Yellow Card
81'
Matheus Pereira
Yellow Card
Juan Castillo
Yellow Card
82'
88'
Elias Manoel
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Team Total Under 0.5 2.50 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.55 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5 2.88 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.50 41% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
BTTS No 1.67 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.10 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.25 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 6 L −4.50u −64% ROI